BP Valuation

Is BSU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BSU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BSU (€27.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€55.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BSU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BSU?

Key metric: As BSU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BSU. This is calculated by dividing BSU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BSU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.3x
EarningsUS$2.72b
Market CapUS$76.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BSU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BSU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.1x
GAZP Gazprom
2.2xn/a₽4.7t
EQNR Equinor
7.1x-8.1%NOK 760.1b
PETR4 Petróleo Brasileiro - Petrobras
5.8x13.0%R$511.2b
386 China Petroleum & Chemical
9.4x9.5%HK$755.1b
28.3x28.5%€61.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BSU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.3x) compared to the peer average (7.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BSU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BSU 28.3xIndustry Avg. 8.7xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BSU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.3x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BSU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BSU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.3x
Fair PE Ratio37.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BSU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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