FirstRand Valuation

Is FSR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FSR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FSR (€39.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€50.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FSR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FSR?

Key metric: As FSR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FSR. This is calculated by dividing FSR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FSR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.2x
EarningsR38.19b
Market CapR428.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FSR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FSR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.4x
HYQ Hypoport
47.4x30.4%€1.4b
DBK Deutsche Bank
7.9x13.4%€30.9b
DB1 Deutsche Börse
21x4.6%€38.8b
VVV3 Ökoworld
9.4x5.5%€210.4m
FSR FirstRand
11.2x10.5%€428.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FSR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the peer average (21.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FSR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Diversified Financial Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FSR 11.2xIndustry Avg. 10.5xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FSR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (10.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FSR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FSR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.2x
Fair PE Ratio19.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FSR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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