LexinFintech Holdings Ltd.

DB:1LFA Stock Report

Market Cap: €259.3m

LexinFintech Holdings Valuation

Is 1LFA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1LFA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1LFA (€1.52) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€15.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1LFA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1LFA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1LFA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA2.5x
PEG Ratio0.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1LFA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1LFA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.6x
FRU Multitude
10.6x25.5%€117.2m
VVV3 Ökoworld
8.9x15.7%€204.3m
O4B OVB Holding
19.4x9.0%€277.9m
EUX EUWAX
43.4xn/a€242.1m
1LFA LexinFintech Holdings
1.9x13.3%€277.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1LFA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (20.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1LFA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Finance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1LFA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x) compared to the European Consumer Finance industry average (8.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1LFA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1LFA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio1.9x
Fair PE Ratio13.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1LFA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1LFA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.52
€2.19
+43.8%
9.8%€2.45€1.87n/a5
Apr ’25€1.66
€2.19
+31.6%
9.8%€2.45€1.87n/a5
Mar ’25€1.74
€2.40
+37.8%
10.2%€2.70€1.95n/a5
Feb ’25€1.67
€2.40
+43.6%
10.2%€2.70€1.95n/a5
Jan ’25€1.65
€2.38
+44.5%
10.2%€2.69€1.94n/a5
Dec ’24€1.62
€2.71
+67.0%
26.3%€4.04€1.93n/a5
Nov ’24€1.71
€3.28
+91.9%
15.3%€4.07€2.64n/a5
Oct ’24€2.04
€3.28
+60.9%
15.3%€4.07€2.64n/a5
Sep ’24€2.38
€3.18
+33.6%
15.0%€4.02€2.61n/a6
Aug ’24€2.54
€3.12
+23.0%
17.2%€4.22€2.49n/a6
Jul ’24€2.08
€3.27
+57.0%
17.6%€4.47€2.63n/a6
Jun ’24€1.87
€3.27
+74.7%
17.6%€4.47€2.63n/a6
May ’24€2.06
€3.33
+61.7%
18.9%€4.64€2.63n/a6
Apr ’24€2.40
€3.33
+38.8%
18.9%€4.64€2.63€1.666
Mar ’24€2.64
€2.57
-2.8%
42.7%€4.97€1.75€1.746
Feb ’24€3.32
€2.69
-18.9%
39.8%€4.91€1.73€1.677
Jan ’24€1.78
€2.33
+30.7%
24.8%€3.64€1.74€1.657
Dec ’23€1.59
€2.33
+46.4%
24.8%€3.64€1.74€1.627
Nov ’23€1.39
€2.44
+75.4%
22.5%€3.72€1.94€1.717
Oct ’23€1.67
€2.54
+52.2%
21.9%€3.82€2.00€2.047
Sep ’23€1.95
€2.58
+32.3%
22.2%€3.90€2.04€2.387
Aug ’23€1.82
€2.74
+50.3%
26.0%€4.12€2.03€2.546
Jul ’23€2.16
€2.72
+26.0%
25.4%€4.06€2.00€2.086
Jun ’23€1.73
€3.26
+88.6%
47.2%€6.70€1.97€1.877
May ’23€2.54
€5.46
+115.1%
54.4%€13.02€2.94€2.069
Apr ’23€2.46
€5.82
+136.7%
58.0%€12.80€2.90€2.409

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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