MLP Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of MLP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

MLP (€5.88) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (€11.44)

Is MLP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MLP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MLP (€5.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.44)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MLP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MLP?

Key metric: As MLP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MLP. This is calculated by dividing MLP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MLP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	10x
Earnings	€64.46m
Market Cap	€642.67m

MLP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MLP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MLP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	13.9x
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA	3.9x	n/a	€390.6m
O4B OVB Holding	15.3x	3.5%	€283.6m
DBAN Deutsche Beteiligungs	24.4x	54.1%	€420.9m
MPCK MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital	11.8x	5.4%	€197.4m
MLP MLP	10x	8.3%	€642.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MLP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (13.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MLP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

4 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA	3.9x	n/a	US$406.78m
HXCK Ernst Russ	3.8x	-18.2%	US$206.28m
VG8 Varengold Bank	1.8x	n/a	US$24.05m
XE8 Black Sea Property	0.7x	n/a	US$7.68m

No more companies available in this PE range

4 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MLP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (20.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MLP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MLP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	10x
Fair PE Ratio	12.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MLP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MLP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	€5.88	€10.50 +78.6%	14.3%	€12.00	€9.00	n/a	2
Nov ’25	€5.97	€10.25 +71.7%	12.2%	€11.50	€9.00	n/a	2
Oct ’25	€5.70	€10.25 +79.8%	12.2%	€11.50	€9.00	n/a	2
Jun ’24	€4.99	€9.25 +85.6%	2.7%	€9.50	€9.00	€6.40	2
May ’24	€5.17	€9.25 +78.9%	2.7%	€9.50	€9.00	€5.65	2
Apr ’24	€4.88	€9.25 +89.7%	2.7%	€9.50	€9.00	€5.61	2
Nov ’23	€4.70	€10.50 +123.4%	4.8%	€11.00	€10.00	€4.58	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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