Stock Analysis

Improved Revenues Required Before Lang & Schwarz Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:LUS1) Stock's 25% Jump Looks Justified

XTRA:LUS1
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Despite an already strong run, Lang & Schwarz Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:LUS1) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 74%.

Although its price has surged higher, Lang & Schwarz may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Capital Markets industry in Germany have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 13x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for Lang & Schwarz

ps-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:LUS1 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 23rd 2024

What Does Lang & Schwarz's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Lang & Schwarz over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Lang & Schwarz will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lang & Schwarz?

Lang & Schwarz's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 36%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 30% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for a contraction of 2.5% shows the industry is more attractive on an annualised basis regardless.

With this in consideration, it's no surprise that Lang & Schwarz's P/S falls short of its industry peers. However, when revenue shrink rapidly P/S often shrinks too, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment regardless. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth, which would be difficult to do with the current industry outlook.

What We Can Learn From Lang & Schwarz's P/S?

Lang & Schwarz's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Lang & Schwarz revealed its sharp three-year contraction in revenue is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to shrink less severely. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Although, we would be concerned whether the company can even maintain its medium-term level of performance under these tough industry conditions. For now though, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Lang & Schwarz that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lang & Schwarz is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.