On the Beach Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 9BP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

9BP (€1.92) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (€3.7)

Is 9BP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9BP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9BP (€1.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9BP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9BP?

Key metric: As 9BP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9BP. This is calculated by dividing 9BP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9BP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	17.3x
Earnings	UK£15.80m
Market Cap	UK£273.20m

9BP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	12.9x
PEG Ratio	0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9BP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9BP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	10.8x
IFA LS Invest	6.6x	n/a	€296.1m
TUI1 TUI	7x	17.3%	€3.8b
TIMA ZEAL Network	19.9x	-5.0%	€935.6m
ALVDM Voyageurs du Monde	9.8x	0.6%	€428.4m
9BP On the Beach Group	17.3x	22.0%	€273.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9BP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the peer average (10.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9BP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

10 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9BP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9BP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9BP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	17.3x
Fair PE Ratio	22.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9BP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9BP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	€1.92	€2.57 +33.7%	21.5%	€3.59	€2.03	n/a	6
Nov ’25	€1.74	€2.58 +48.1%	21.5%	€3.61	€2.04	n/a	6
Oct ’25	€1.62	€2.55 +57.4%	24.3%	€3.59	€1.68	n/a	7
Sep ’25	€1.77	€2.52 +42.5%	22.7%	€3.54	€1.65	n/a	8
Aug ’25	€1.67	€2.52 +51.0%	22.7%	€3.54	€1.65	n/a	8
Jul ’25	€1.59	€2.52 +58.6%	22.7%	€3.54	€1.65	n/a	8
Jun ’25	€1.60	€2.46 +53.8%	21.8%	€3.53	€1.65	n/a	9
May ’25	€1.65	€2.49 +51.1%	20.4%	€3.50	€1.63	n/a	9
Apr ’25	€1.89	€2.49 +32.2%	20.4%	€3.50	€1.63	n/a	9
Mar ’25	€1.70	€2.49 +46.7%	20.2%	€3.51	€1.64	n/a	9
Feb ’25	€1.68	€2.45 +45.7%	19.6%	€3.52	€1.64	n/a	9
Jan ’25	€1.93	€2.56 +32.5%	24.1%	€3.68	€1.61	n/a	9
Dec ’24	€1.26	€2.33 +84.9%	32.9%	€3.74	€1.17	n/a	10
Nov ’24	€1.07	€2.23 +108.4%	35.3%	€3.67	€1.15	€1.74	10
Oct ’24	€1.17	€2.26 +92.1%	33.8%	€3.72	€1.16	€1.62	11
Sep ’24	€1.03	€2.28 +120.2%	35.3%	€3.74	€1.17	€1.77	10
Aug ’24	€0.97	€2.28 +135.5%	35.3%	€3.74	€1.17	€1.67	10
Jul ’24	€1.07	€2.35 +119.4%	34.3%	€3.73	€1.17	€1.59	11
Jun ’24	€1.11	€2.36 +113.2%	35.0%	€3.69	€1.15	€1.60	10
May ’24	€1.46	€2.51 +72.0%	28.4%	€3.63	€1.36	€1.65	9
Apr ’24	€1.59	€2.50 +57.3%	26.6%	€3.59	€1.57	€1.89	9
Mar ’24	€1.81	€2.50 +38.1%	26.6%	€3.59	€1.57	€1.70	9
Feb ’24	€1.92	€2.46 +28.2%	27.3%	€3.63	€1.59	€1.68	9
Jan ’24	€1.69	€2.36 +39.9%	30.4%	€3.66	€1.43	€1.93	9
Dec ’23	€1.35	€2.54 +88.2%	28.7%	€3.71	€1.45	€1.26	8
Nov ’23	€1.16	€2.68 +130.8%	23.8%	€3.68	€1.84	€1.07	7

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.