bet-at-home.com (ETR:ACX) stock falls 11% in past week as five-year earnings and shareholder returns continue downward trend

By
Simply Wall St
Published
May 10, 2022
XTRA:ACX
Source: Shutterstock

Long term investing works well, but it doesn't always work for each individual stock. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. Imagine if you held bet-at-home.com AG (ETR:ACX) for half a decade as the share price tanked 90%. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 71% in the last year. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 16% in the last 90 days. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 14% in the same timeframe. While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.

With the stock having lost 11% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

Check out our latest analysis for bet-at-home.com

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Looking back five years, both bet-at-home.com's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 19% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 37% per year, over the period. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock. The low P/E ratio of 8.72 further reflects this reticence.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
XTRA:ACX Earnings Per Share Growth May 10th 2022

We know that bet-at-home.com has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, bet-at-home.com's TSR for the last 5 years was -86%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that bet-at-home.com shareholders are down 69% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 13%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 13% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for bet-at-home.com (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.

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