Performance Food Group Company

DB:P5F Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.3b

Performance Food Group Valuation

Is P5F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of P5F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

€178.23
Fair Value
56.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: P5F (€77.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€178.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: P5F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for P5F?

Key metric: As P5F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for P5F. This is calculated by dividing P5F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is P5F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio44x
EarningsUS$325.80m
Market CapUS$14.35b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does P5F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for P5F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.8x
USFD US Foods Holding
30x23.02%US$17.0b
BID Bid
16.9x8.44%R138.4b
SYY Sysco
19.3x9.90%US$35.2b
MTS Metcash
13.1x5.36%AU$3.7b
P5F Performance Food Group
44x30.46%€14.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: P5F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44x) compared to the peer average (19.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does P5F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
P5F 44.0xIndustry Avg. 18.4xNo. of Companies9PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: P5F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (18.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is P5F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

P5F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio44x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate P5F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst P5F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€77.50
€104.66
+35.04%
4.62%€115.27€98.92n/a12
Nov ’26€82.50
€103.96
+26.02%
4.50%€112.63€98.02n/a12
Oct ’26€86.00
€100.66
+17.05%
3.43%€107.10€96.14n/a11
Sep ’26€86.00
€101.69
+18.25%
5.37%€109.19€87.70n/a11
Aug ’26€86.00
€94.11
+9.43%
9.71%€107.84€77.64n/a12
Jul ’26€74.50
€89.64
+20.32%
8.47%€104.52€77.74n/a13
Jun ’26€78.50
€90.07
+14.74%
9.25%€106.58€75.17n/a13
May ’26€70.50
€87.09
+23.53%
7.62%€101.86€74.94n/a13
Apr ’26€73.00
€93.26
+27.75%
7.58%€107.44€78.71n/a13
Mar ’26€81.00
€97.01
+19.76%
7.73%€112.64€81.81n/a13
Feb ’26€86.50
€94.96
+9.79%
6.29%€105.60€81.58n/a13
Jan ’26€79.50
€95.11
+19.64%
6.64%€106.14€80.49n/a13
Dec ’25€82.50
€93.12
+12.88%
6.53%€104.49€79.24€81.0012
Nov ’25€74.00
€83.55
+12.90%
6.03%€90.60€73.04€82.5012
Oct ’25€70.00
€78.53
+12.19%
6.10%€85.36€70.98€86.0011
Sep ’25€67.50
€78.07
+15.66%
6.12%€84.80€71.27€86.0011
Aug ’25€63.00
€76.40
+21.26%
5.53%€85.43€69.81€86.0012
Jul ’25€60.50
€77.16
+27.54%
5.02%€85.94€73.00€74.5012
Jun ’25€64.00
€77.16
+20.57%
5.02%€85.94€73.00€78.5012
May ’25€63.50
€79.15
+24.64%
4.68%€87.37€75.16€70.5013
Apr ’25€68.50
€77.60
+13.29%
4.92%€85.82€71.98€73.0013
Mar ’25€70.50
€77.60
+10.07%
4.92%€85.82€71.98€81.0013
Feb ’25€67.50
€72.40
+7.25%
6.15%€85.36€66.09€86.5014
Jan ’25€62.50
€69.49
+11.19%
6.45%€77.72€62.18€79.5013
Dec ’24€60.00
€69.12
+15.20%
6.23%€77.94€62.35€82.5013
€103.05
Fair Value
24.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/06 17:52
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/05 00:00
Earnings2025/09/27
Annual Earnings2025/06/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Performance Food Group Company is covered by 27 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays
Alok PatelBerenberg