Sysco Valuation

Is SYY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SYY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SYY ($76.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($147.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SYY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SYY?

Key metric: As SYY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SYY. This is calculated by dividing SYY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SYY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.4x
EarningsUS$1.94b
Market CapUS$37.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SYY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SYY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.8x
USFD US Foods Holding
28.3x17.0%US$16.3b
PFGC Performance Food Group
32.4x21.1%US$13.7b
ANDE Andersons
13.5x18.2%US$1.6b
CHEF Chefs' Warehouse
37.1x22.1%US$1.8b
SYY Sysco
19.4x8.6%US$37.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SYY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the peer average (27.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SYY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
SYY 19.4xIndustry Avg. 25.7xNo. of Companies5PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SYY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the US Consumer Retailing industry average (25.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SYY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SYY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.4x
Fair PE Ratio24.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SYY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SYY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$76.65
US$84.08
+9.7%
4.7%US$91.00US$76.00n/a15
Nov ’25US$75.03
US$84.21
+12.2%
4.8%US$91.00US$76.00n/a15
Oct ’25US$77.74
US$84.82
+9.1%
5.1%US$92.00US$76.00n/a15
Sep ’25US$77.97
US$84.55
+8.4%
4.8%US$91.00US$76.00n/a15
Aug ’25US$75.81
US$84.55
+11.5%
4.8%US$91.00US$76.00n/a15
Jul ’25US$69.88
US$84.62
+21.1%
5.2%US$91.00US$75.00n/a15
Jun ’25US$72.82
US$84.62
+16.2%
5.4%US$91.00US$75.00n/a15
May ’25US$73.05
US$86.73
+18.7%
5.4%US$91.00US$77.00n/a15
Apr ’25US$80.57
US$87.22
+8.3%
5.3%US$92.00US$77.00n/a14
Mar ’25US$79.96
US$87.01
+8.8%
5.4%US$92.00US$77.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$82.36
US$87.04
+5.7%
5.3%US$92.00US$77.00n/a15
Jan ’25US$73.13
US$80.04
+9.4%
5.6%US$87.00US$73.00n/a15
Dec ’24US$72.80
US$79.71
+9.5%
6.0%US$87.00US$73.00n/a15
Nov ’24US$65.65
US$80.23
+22.2%
5.4%US$87.00US$73.00US$75.0314
Oct ’24US$66.05
US$84.71
+28.2%
5.0%US$92.00US$76.00US$77.7413
Sep ’24US$70.29
US$84.54
+20.3%
5.1%US$92.00US$76.00US$77.9713
Aug ’24US$76.16
US$85.54
+12.3%
5.2%US$93.00US$78.00US$75.8113
Jul ’24US$74.20
US$85.46
+15.2%
5.2%US$93.00US$78.00US$69.8813
Jun ’24US$71.28
US$85.62
+20.1%
5.0%US$93.00US$78.00US$72.8213
May ’24US$76.82
US$87.01
+13.3%
5.3%US$95.00US$80.00US$73.0514
Apr ’24US$77.23
US$87.58
+13.4%
5.1%US$95.00US$80.00US$80.5714
Mar ’24US$75.09
US$87.08
+16.0%
5.5%US$95.00US$80.00US$79.9614
Feb ’24US$77.92
US$87.36
+12.1%
5.3%US$95.00US$80.00US$82.3614
Jan ’24US$76.45
US$90.57
+18.5%
7.0%US$100.00US$80.00US$73.1314
Dec ’23US$86.04
US$90.71
+5.4%
7.0%US$100.00US$80.00US$72.8014
Nov ’23US$84.11
US$90.71
+7.9%
7.1%US$100.00US$80.00US$65.6514

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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