Dino Polska Valuation

Is 5Y2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5Y2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5Y2 (€89.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€98.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5Y2 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5Y2?

Key metric: As 5Y2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5Y2. This is calculated by dividing 5Y2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5Y2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.9x
Earningszł1.43b
Market Capzł38.53b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5Y2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5Y2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.1x
HAW Hawesko Holding
20.4x19.4%€209.3m
MSH WASGAU Produktions & Handels
13.6xn/a€56.8m
CART Maplebear
25.7x11.9%US$11.2b
SHP Shoprite Holdings
24.7x11.7%R162.0b
5Y2 Dino Polska
26.9x18.1%€38.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5Y2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x) compared to the peer average (21x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5Y2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5Y2 26.9xIndustry Avg. 15.0xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5Y2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (14.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5Y2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5Y2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 5Y2's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5Y2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€89.10
€93.53
+5.0%
14.5%€121.19€75.15n/a14
Nov ’25€74.08
€90.62
+22.3%
15.4%€121.28€68.81n/a14
Oct ’25€80.70
€93.50
+15.9%
15.3%€123.40€70.01n/a14
Sep ’25€77.36
€95.20
+23.1%
14.6%€122.64€69.58n/a14
Aug ’25€82.68
€100.42
+21.5%
12.5%€122.80€79.23n/a14
Jul ’25€89.46
€102.38
+14.4%
12.0%€122.22€78.85n/a14
Jun ’25€88.88
€101.80
+14.5%
12.0%€123.20€79.48n/a13
May ’25€90.00
€100.72
+11.9%
13.0%€126.44€80.75n/a12
Apr ’25€93.06
€102.78
+10.4%
13.2%€127.19€81.24n/a12
Mar ’25€102.10
€106.18
+4.0%
13.0%€126.91€85.00n/a12
Feb ’25€107.05
€102.61
-4.1%
13.6%€125.43€84.00n/a12
Jan ’25€112.00
€104.12
-7.0%
14.0%€128.03€84.81n/a12
Dec ’24€103.50
€102.02
-1.4%
15.6%€128.20€74.51n/a12
Nov ’24€91.50
€95.45
+4.3%
14.6%€118.69€72.38€74.0812
Oct ’24€73.54
€92.32
+25.5%
13.9%€114.08€69.57€80.7013
Sep ’24€85.04
€96.38
+13.3%
14.5%€119.51€71.93€77.3613
Aug ’24€97.52
€99.66
+2.2%
14.6%€120.16€72.32€82.6813
Jul ’24€99.60
€96.97
-2.6%
14.4%€121.06€72.59€89.4613
Jun ’24€89.00
€93.86
+5.5%
13.1%€118.81€71.24€88.8813
May ’24€87.94
€89.09
+1.3%
10.7%€105.09€70.21€90.0013
Apr ’24€78.08
€83.91
+7.5%
10.8%€96.91€68.88€93.0613
Mar ’24€75.98
€81.92
+7.8%
9.7%€94.71€67.77€102.1013
Feb ’24€78.56
€80.49
+2.5%
12.6%€95.68€64.43€107.0513
Jan ’24€75.50
€79.54
+5.3%
11.5%€92.50€64.58€112.0013
Dec ’23€74.12
€79.54
+7.3%
11.5%€92.50€64.58€103.5013
Nov ’23€64.58
€76.47
+18.4%
11.8%€88.97€64.19€91.5013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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