Hawesko Holding Valuation

Is HAW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HAW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HAW (€23.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€47.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HAW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HAW?

Key metric: As HAW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HAW. This is calculated by dividing HAW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HAW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.9x
Earnings€10.41m
Market Cap€207.52m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HAW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HAW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.9x
MSH WASGAU Produktions & Handels
12.8xn/a€52.8m
8217 Okuwa
54.1x24.2%JP¥37.1b
7596 Uoriki
22.5xn/aJP¥33.6b
2411 Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)
10x37.9%HK$2.0b
HAW Hawesko Holding
19.9x19.4%€207.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HAW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x) compared to the peer average (24.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HAW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HAW 19.9xIndustry Avg. 14.8xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HAW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (14.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HAW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HAW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HAW's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HAW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€23.10
€36.83
+59.5%
13.7%€42.00€30.00n/a3
Nov ’25€23.60
€36.83
+56.1%
13.7%€42.00€30.00n/a3
Oct ’25€26.90
€36.83
+36.9%
13.7%€42.00€30.00n/a3
Sep ’25€26.70
€36.83
+38.0%
13.7%€42.00€30.00n/a3
Aug ’25€26.60
€45.25
+70.1%
14.9%€52.00€38.50n/a2
Jul ’25€27.40
€45.25
+65.1%
14.9%€52.00€38.50n/a2
Jun ’25€30.50
€46.75
+53.3%
11.2%€52.00€41.50n/a2
May ’25€30.10
€48.75
+62.0%
14.9%€56.00€41.50n/a2
Apr ’25€29.00
€48.75
+68.1%
14.9%€56.00€41.50n/a2
Mar ’25€29.70
€48.75
+64.1%
14.9%€56.00€41.50n/a2
Feb ’25€28.80
€48.75
+69.3%
14.9%€56.00€41.50n/a2
Jan ’25€31.70
€48.75
+53.8%
14.9%€56.00€41.50n/a2
Dec ’24€31.20
€48.75
+56.3%
14.9%€56.00€41.50n/a2
Nov ’24€34.00
€50.00
+47.1%
12.0%€56.00€44.00€23.602
Oct ’24€35.60
€54.00
+51.7%
18.5%€64.00€44.00€26.902
Sep ’24€35.50
€55.50
+56.3%
15.3%€64.00€47.00€26.702
Aug ’24€37.40
€55.50
+48.4%
15.3%€64.00€47.00€26.602
Jul ’24€38.10
€55.50
+45.7%
15.3%€64.00€47.00€27.402
Jun ’24€41.60
€58.00
+39.4%
10.3%€64.00€52.00€30.502
May ’24€43.30
€58.00
+33.9%
10.3%€64.00€52.00€30.102
Apr ’24€43.90
€58.00
+32.1%
10.3%€64.00€52.00€29.002
Mar ’24€43.20
€54.00
+25.0%
13.9%€64.00€46.00€29.703
Feb ’24€41.00
€49.00
+19.5%
6.1%€52.00€46.00€28.802
Jan ’24€39.20
€49.00
+25.0%
6.1%€52.00€46.00€31.702
Dec ’23€41.10
€49.00
+19.2%
6.1%€52.00€46.00€31.202
Nov ’23€40.60
€49.00
+20.7%
6.1%€52.00€46.00€34.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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