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We Think You Can Look Beyond Hawesko Holding's (ETR:HAW) Lackluster Earnings
The market for Hawesko Holding SE's (ETR:HAW) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.
View our latest analysis for Hawesko Holding
Examining Cashflow Against Hawesko Holding's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
For the year to September 2024, Hawesko Holding had an accrual ratio of -0.17. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of €41m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of €10.4m. Hawesko Holding's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Hawesko Holding's Profit Performance
Happily for shareholders, Hawesko Holding produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Hawesko Holding's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Hawesko Holding as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hawesko Holding you should know about.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hawesko Holding's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hawesko Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:HAW
Hawesko Holding
Trades in and sells wines, champagnes, and spirits in Germany, Austria, Switzerland, and the Czech Republic, Sweden, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.