Stock Analysis

We Think Hawesko Holding (ETR:HAW) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

XTRA:HAW
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Hawesko Holding AG (ETR:HAW) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Hawesko Holding

What Is Hawesko Holding's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hawesko Holding had €19.4m of debt in September 2021, down from €25.1m, one year before. However, it does have €21.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €1.62m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:HAW Debt to Equity History December 16th 2021

How Healthy Is Hawesko Holding's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hawesko Holding had liabilities of €143.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €138.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €21.0m and €47.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €213.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Hawesko Holding has a market capitalization of €449.2m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Hawesko Holding also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Hawesko Holding has boosted its EBIT by 56%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hawesko Holding can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Hawesko Holding may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Hawesko Holding actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Summing up

While Hawesko Holding does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €1.62m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €55m, being 118% of its EBIT. So is Hawesko Holding's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hawesko Holding (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hawesko Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.