Gildan Activewear Valuation

Is VGA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VGA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VGA (€46.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€63.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VGA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VGA?

Key metric: As VGA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VGA. This is calculated by dividing VGA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VGA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.1x
EarningsUS$421.86m
Market CapUS$7.56b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VGA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VGA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37x
BOSS Hugo Boss
12.6x13.1%€2.7b
ADS adidas
98.9x38.1%€37.7b
BIJ Bijou Brigitte modische Accessoires
11.1xn/a€267.1m
PUM PUMA
25.5x18.6%€6.6b
VGA Gildan Activewear
18.1x12.0%€10.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VGA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x) compared to the peer average (37x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VGA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VGA 18.1xIndustry Avg. 14.1xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VGA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VGA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VGA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.1x
Fair PE Ratio19.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VGA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VGA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€46.20
€51.19
+10.8%
6.9%€56.29€45.30n/a5
Nov ’25€45.40
€48.10
+6.0%
8.5%€54.45€42.80n/a5
Oct ’25€42.20
€42.79
+1.4%
8.2%€48.36€37.49n/a5
Sep ’25€40.60
€40.32
-0.7%
6.1%€43.23€37.30n/a6
Aug ’25€38.20
€38.17
-0.09%
10.7%€42.14€29.51n/a6
Jul ’25€35.20
€37.18
+5.6%
9.8%€40.55€29.35n/a6
Jun ’25€34.40
€37.18
+8.1%
9.8%€40.55€29.35n/a6
May ’25€32.40
€37.53
+15.8%
11.4%€41.10€28.38n/a6
Apr ’25€34.20
€37.44
+9.5%
10.6%€40.63€28.78n/a6
Mar ’25€31.80
€36.45
+14.6%
10.0%€40.66€29.42n/a6
Feb ’25€31.00
€34.37
+10.9%
8.2%€36.88€28.99n/a5
Jan ’25€29.80
€34.80
+16.8%
8.2%€37.16€29.21n/a5
Dec ’24€33.20
€34.92
+5.2%
8.1%€37.40€29.40n/a5
Nov ’24€26.60
€33.70
+26.7%
8.3%€37.86€29.36€45.405
Oct ’24€26.20
€32.74
+24.9%
8.3%€36.66€28.43€42.205
Sep ’24€27.40
€32.74
+19.5%
8.3%€36.66€28.43€40.605
Aug ’24€28.20
€33.80
+19.9%
9.1%€37.71€28.61€38.205
Jul ’24€29.20
€35.03
+20.0%
9.3%€39.23€29.76€35.205
Jun ’24€25.40
€34.41
+35.5%
9.4%€38.61€29.29€34.405
May ’24€29.00
€33.81
+16.6%
10.6%€39.02€28.65€32.405
Apr ’24€29.80
€35.12
+17.9%
10.8%€40.75€29.92€34.205
Mar ’24€30.20
€35.12
+16.3%
10.8%€40.64€29.82€31.805
Feb ’24€28.40
€35.18
+23.9%
15.1%€44.17€29.03€31.005
Jan ’24€25.40
€35.89
+41.3%
15.1%€45.28€29.76€29.805
Dec ’23€27.40
€36.68
+33.9%
15.1%€46.16€30.34€33.205
Nov ’23€32.00
€39.19
+22.5%
16.3%€48.17€31.26€26.605

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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