Columbia Sportswear Company

DB:CUW Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.8b

Columbia Sportswear Valuation

Is CUW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CUW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CUW (€83.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€191.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CUW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CUW?

Key metric: As CUW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CUW. This is calculated by dividing CUW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CUW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.2x
EarningsUS$214.06m
Market CapUS$5.04b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CUW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CUW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.3x
BOSS Hugo Boss
12.2x13.1%€2.6b
ADS adidas
104x38.1%€39.6b
BIJ Bijou Brigitte modische Accessoires
11xn/a€264.5m
PUM PUMA
26x18.6%€6.7b
CUW Columbia Sportswear
23.2x10.0%€5.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CUW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the peer average (38.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CUW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CUW 23.2xIndustry Avg. 13.8xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CUW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CUW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CUW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.2x
Fair PE Ratio17.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CUW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CUW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€83.50
€78.75
-5.7%
15.7%€94.50€57.27n/a8
Nov ’25€73.50
€74.52
+1.4%
16.7%€91.36€55.37n/a8
Oct ’25€74.00
€73.78
-0.3%
15.3%€88.42€55.26n/a9
Sep ’25€72.50
€73.78
+1.8%
15.3%€88.42€55.26n/a9
Aug ’25€75.50
€73.78
-2.3%
15.3%€88.42€55.26n/a9
Jul ’25€73.00
€72.36
-0.9%
16.3%€89.49€55.93n/a8
Jun ’25€77.00
€72.36
-6.0%
16.3%€89.49€55.93n/a8
May ’25€73.50
€73.02
-0.7%
15.4%€89.74€56.09n/a9
Apr ’25€73.00
€67.66
-7.3%
12.4%€83.27€54.59n/a10
Mar ’25€76.00
€67.66
-11.0%
12.4%€83.27€54.59n/a10
Feb ’25€73.00
€68.42
-6.3%
12.4%€83.30€55.53n/a10
Jan ’25€72.50
€72.83
+0.4%
13.3%€90.38€56.78n/a10
Dec ’24€71.50
€72.83
+1.9%
13.3%€90.38€56.78n/a10
Nov ’24€70.00
€72.83
+4.0%
13.3%€90.38€56.78€73.5010
Oct ’24€67.50
€79.28
+17.5%
13.0%€102.50€60.57€74.0011
Sep ’24€67.50
€78.09
+15.7%
12.9%€100.53€59.40€72.5011
Aug ’24€70.00
€84.73
+21.0%
14.8%€107.14€62.50€75.5011
Jul ’24€69.50
€87.40
+25.8%
14.2%€109.46€63.85€73.0011
Jun ’24€67.50
€87.86
+30.2%
13.6%€108.90€63.53€77.0011
May ’24€78.50
€87.86
+11.9%
13.6%€108.90€63.53€73.5011
Apr ’24€80.50
€91.60
+13.8%
12.8%€110.70€69.19€73.0010
Mar ’24€82.00
€92.35
+12.6%
12.5%€111.16€69.47€76.0010
Feb ’24€86.50
€87.80
+1.5%
17.0%€110.44€59.82€73.0010
Jan ’24€81.50
€85.25
+4.6%
19.6%€112.07€60.70€72.5010
Dec ’23€85.50
€88.12
+3.1%
18.9%€116.22€62.95€71.5011
Nov ’23€73.50
€90.31
+22.9%
18.9%€120.43€65.23€70.0011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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