Canada Goose Holdings Inc.

DB:1GC Stock Report

Market Cap: €938.5m

Canada Goose Holdings Valuation

Is 1GC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1GC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1GC (€9.63) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€2.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1GC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1GC?

Key metric: As 1GC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1GC. This is calculated by dividing 1GC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1GC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.8x
EarningsCA$63.60m
Market CapCA$1.39b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1GC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1GC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.2x
BOSS Hugo Boss
13.6x13.3%€3.0b
BIJ Bijou Brigitte modische Accessoires
13.1xn/a€266.0m
ADS adidas
109.5x32.4%€42.3b
EIN3 Einhell Germany
12.4x9.2%€726.9m
1GC Canada Goose Holdings
21.8x-4.5%€1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1GC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the peer average (37.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1GC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1GC 21.8xIndustry Avg. 16.5xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1GC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (16.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1GC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1GC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.8x
Fair PE Ratio10.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1GC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1GC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.63
€8.65
-10.1%
11.2%€10.11€7.41n/a7
Dec ’25€8.94
€8.65
-3.2%
11.2%€10.11€7.41n/a7
Nov ’25€8.89
€9.67
+8.9%
17.2%€12.00€7.33n/a7
Oct ’25€11.20
€10.72
-4.3%
15.0%€12.62€7.31n/a8
Sep ’25€10.40
€10.72
+3.0%
15.0%€12.62€7.31n/a8
Aug ’25€10.02
€12.55
+25.2%
30.3%€22.04€7.35n/a9
Jul ’25€11.99
€13.32
+11.1%
26.8%€22.30€7.43n/a10
Jun ’25€13.15
€13.32
+1.3%
26.8%€22.30€7.43n/a10
May ’25€10.57
€12.46
+17.8%
31.1%€22.58€7.53n/a10
Apr ’25€11.09
€12.46
+12.3%
31.1%€22.58€7.53n/a10
Mar ’25€12.57
€12.46
-0.9%
31.1%€22.58€7.53n/a10
Feb ’25€10.53
€12.23
+16.2%
31.4%€22.68€7.56n/a10
Jan ’25€11.00
€11.88
+8.0%
31.9%€22.56€8.89€9.5010
Dec ’24€10.16
€11.85
+16.7%
31.9%€22.51€8.87€8.9410
Nov ’24€9.51
€15.45
+62.5%
33.3%€27.99€9.56€8.8910
Oct ’24€13.86
€18.20
+31.3%
21.4%€28.43€13.87€11.2010
Sep ’24€15.08
€18.79
+24.6%
23.1%€27.84€13.58€10.409
Aug ’24€16.21
€19.23
+18.6%
21.2%€27.92€13.62€10.029
Jul ’24€16.25
€19.58
+20.5%
20.3%€28.10€13.71€11.999
Jun ’24€14.51
€19.58
+35.0%
20.3%€28.10€13.71€13.159
May ’24€17.67
€19.87
+12.5%
18.3%€27.97€15.69€10.579
Apr ’24€17.52
€19.87
+13.4%
18.3%€27.97€15.69€11.099
Mar ’24€17.61
€20.31
+15.3%
20.2%€28.45€13.88€12.5711
Feb ’24€22.37
€20.91
-6.5%
17.2%€28.34€15.90€10.5310
Jan ’24€16.17
€20.64
+27.6%
20.6%€30.19€14.73€11.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/03 19:26
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/29
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jonathan KompBaird
Adrienne Yih-TennantBarclays
Brian McNamaraBerenberg