Stock Analysis

Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of Francotyp-Postalia Holding's (ETR:FPH) Earnings

XTRA:FPH
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The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Francotyp-Postalia Holding AG's (ETR:FPH) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. Investors are probably missing some underlying factors which are encouraging for the future of the company.

Check out our latest analysis for Francotyp-Postalia Holding

earnings-and-revenue-history
XTRA:FPH Earnings and Revenue History June 2nd 2022

A Closer Look At Francotyp-Postalia Holding's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Francotyp-Postalia Holding has an accrual ratio of -0.24 for the year to March 2022. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of €8.0m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of €4.83m. Francotyp-Postalia Holding's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Francotyp-Postalia Holding's profit was reduced by unusual items worth €12m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Francotyp-Postalia Holding took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to March 2022. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Francotyp-Postalia Holding's Profit Performance

In conclusion, both Francotyp-Postalia Holding's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. After considering all this, we reckon Francotyp-Postalia Holding's statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Francotyp-Postalia Holding you should know about.

Our examination of Francotyp-Postalia Holding has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.