Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.

DB:TWL Stock Report

Market Cap: €7.0b

Simpson Manufacturing Valuation

Is TWL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TWL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TWL (€165.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€171.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TWL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TWL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TWL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.3x
PEG Ratio2.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TWL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TWL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.8x
VIB3 Villeroy & Boch
15.6x43.5%€440.3m
ST5 STEICO
11.2x-6.9%€311.2m
WUG Westag
24.1xn/a€117.0m
HOT HOCHTIEF
12.1x3.2%€8.5b
TWL Simpson Manufacturing
23.8x8.9%€7.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the peer average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TWL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the European Building industry average (19x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TWL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TWL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.5x
Fair PE Ratio16.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TWL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€164.80
€183.10
+11.1%
7.9%€201.93€166.73n/a3
Oct ’25€172.50
€177.25
+2.8%
4.8%€186.16€165.89n/a3
Sep ’25€164.90
€177.25
+7.5%
4.8%€186.16€165.89n/a3
Aug ’25€170.30
€177.25
+4.1%
4.8%€186.16€165.89n/a3
Jul ’25€152.40
€179.76
+18.0%
5.9%€192.40€166.50n/a3
Jun ’25€152.00
€179.76
+18.3%
5.9%€192.40€166.50n/a3
May ’25€163.00
€181.26
+11.2%
5.1%€194.31€168.16n/a4
Apr ’25€188.70
€181.17
-4.0%
2.9%€189.71€175.83n/a4
Mar ’25€192.90
€182.86
-5.2%
3.2%€190.61€176.66n/a3
Feb ’25€170.10
€159.28
-6.4%
10.1%€181.94€147.02n/a3
Jan ’25€180.40
€160.73
-10.9%
5.8%€173.71€151.06n/a4
Dec ’24€158.60
€160.73
+1.3%
5.8%€173.71€151.06n/a4
Nov ’24€128.50
€160.73
+25.1%
5.8%€173.71€151.06€163.904
Oct ’24€141.50
€159.24
+12.5%
7.5%€171.91€140.24€172.504
Sep ’24€148.10
€159.24
+7.5%
7.5%€171.91€140.24€164.904
Aug ’24€143.60
€159.24
+10.9%
7.5%€171.91€140.24€170.304
Jul ’24€127.10
€129.22
+1.7%
3.3%€134.01€123.07€152.404
Jun ’24€111.60
€129.22
+15.8%
3.3%€134.01€123.07€152.004
May ’24€114.00
€129.22
+13.4%
3.3%€134.01€123.07€163.004
Apr ’24€100.60
€120.47
+19.8%
5.4%€127.70€111.85€188.704
Mar ’24€101.50
€120.47
+18.7%
5.4%€127.70€111.85€192.904
Feb ’24€98.85
€101.46
+2.6%
11.5%€115.04€82.83€170.104
Jan ’24€83.80
€104.61
+24.8%
14.4%€125.44€90.32€180.404
Dec ’23€88.80
€104.61
+17.8%
14.4%€125.44€90.32€158.604
Nov ’23€86.15
€104.61
+21.4%
14.4%€125.44€90.32€128.504

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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