STEICO Valuation

Is ST5 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ST5 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ST5 (€19.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€41.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ST5 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ST5?

Key metric: As ST5 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ST5. This is calculated by dividing ST5's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ST5's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10x
Earnings€27.68m
Market Cap€276.04m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ST5's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ST5 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.2x
VIB3 Villeroy & Boch
14.6x43.5%€412.4m
WUG Westag
24.1xn/a€117.0m
TSS InnoTec TSS
10.1xn/a€58.4m
NOEJ NORMA Group
16.2x36.4%€379.8m
ST5 STEICO
10x-6.9%€276.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ST5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (16.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ST5's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ST5 10.0xIndustry Avg. 19.9xNo. of Companies13PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ST5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the European Building industry average (19.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ST5's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ST5 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ratio8.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ST5 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ST5 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.60
€34.50
+76.0%
16.5%€42.00€29.00n/a4
Nov ’25€23.00
€34.50
+50.0%
16.5%€42.00€29.00n/a4
Oct ’25€24.30
€38.25
+57.4%
11.7%€42.00€31.00n/a4
Sep ’25€27.20
€38.25
+40.6%
11.7%€42.00€31.00n/a4
Aug ’25€27.10
€38.25
+41.1%
11.7%€42.00€31.00n/a4
Jul ’25€29.00
€39.50
+36.2%
6.6%€42.00€36.00n/a4
Jun ’25€34.30
€39.50
+15.2%
6.6%€42.00€36.00n/a4
May ’25€37.20
€38.50
+3.5%
4.3%€40.00€36.00n/a4
Apr ’25€28.00
€37.50
+33.9%
4.8%€40.00€35.00n/a4
Mar ’25€26.90
€37.50
+39.4%
4.8%€40.00€35.00n/a4
Feb ’25€28.30
€43.00
+51.9%
19.1%€60.00€35.00n/a6
Jan ’25€33.65
€43.00
+27.8%
19.1%€60.00€35.00n/a6
Dec ’24€30.10
€43.00
+42.9%
19.1%€60.00€35.00n/a6
Nov ’24€29.15
€43.00
+47.5%
19.1%€60.00€35.00€23.006
Oct ’24€26.45
€43.17
+63.2%
19.2%€60.00€35.00€24.306
Sep ’24€29.70
€43.17
+45.3%
19.2%€60.00€35.00€27.206
Aug ’24€34.85
€43.17
+23.9%
19.2%€60.00€35.00€27.106
Jul ’24€30.35
€49.33
+62.5%
16.5%€60.00€40.00€29.006
Jun ’24€45.75
€73.50
+60.7%
18.7%€90.00€53.00€34.306
May ’24€45.15
€80.60
+78.5%
17.9%€95.00€55.00€37.205
Apr ’24€54.10
€79.00
+46.0%
17.2%€95.00€55.00€28.006
Mar ’24€53.10
€79.80
+50.3%
18.5%€95.00€55.00€26.905
Feb ’24€49.70
€77.80
+56.5%
20.1%€90.00€50.00€28.305
Jan ’24€43.15
€78.00
+80.8%
19.6%€90.00€51.00€33.655
Dec ’23€46.00
€78.00
+69.6%
19.6%€90.00€51.00€30.105
Nov ’23€44.65
€84.75
+89.8%
9.4%€90.00€71.00€29.154

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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