Newag Valuation

Is N0GA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of N0GA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: N0GA (€8.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€8.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: N0GA is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for N0GA?

Key metric: As N0GA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for N0GA. This is calculated by dividing N0GA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is N0GA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.9x
Earningszł145.41m
Market Capzł1.74b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does N0GA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for N0GA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.5x
DEZ DEUTZ
11.2x47.9%€557.3m
JST JOST Werke
17x24.1%€619.1m
VOS Vossloh
14.4x10.6%€817.3m
WAC Wacker Neuson
11.4x29.0%€925.0m
N0GA Newag
11.9x15.9%€1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: N0GA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the peer average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does N0GA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
N0GA 11.9xIndustry Avg. 14.9xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: N0GA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (14.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is N0GA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

N0GA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.9x
Fair PE Ratio13.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: N0GA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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