DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft

XTRA:DEZ Stock Report

Market Cap: €556.4m

DEUTZ Valuation

Is DEZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DEZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DEZ (€4.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€15.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DEZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DEZ?

Key metric: As DEZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DEZ. This is calculated by dividing DEZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DEZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.2x
Earnings€49.60m
Market Cap€556.44m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DEZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DEZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.6x
JST JOST Werke
17x24.1%€619.8m
VOS Vossloh
13.9x10.6%€787.3m
WAC Wacker Neuson
10.7x30.8%€866.5m
R3NK RENK Group
101x68.3%€2.0b
DEZ DEUTZ
11.2x47.9%€556.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DEZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the peer average (35.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DEZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
DEZ 11.2xIndustry Avg. 14.6xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DEZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (14.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DEZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DEZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.2x
Fair PE Ratio28.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DEZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DEZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.02
€7.16
+78.2%
20.0%€8.50€4.70n/a5
Nov ’25€4.09
€7.16
+75.1%
20.0%€8.50€4.70n/a5
Oct ’25€4.47
€8.10
+81.3%
20.5%€10.40€5.50n/a5
Sep ’25€4.74
€8.10
+70.7%
20.5%€10.40€5.50n/a5
Aug ’25€4.87
€8.36
+71.7%
22.7%€10.50€5.50n/a5
Jul ’25€6.18
€8.78
+42.1%
19.4%€11.00€6.50n/a5
Jun ’25€5.22
€8.15
+56.1%
23.4%€10.60€5.40n/a6
May ’25€5.46
€8.15
+49.4%
23.4%€10.60€5.40n/a6
Apr ’25€5.89
€7.86
+33.6%
31.1%€10.60€4.80n/a5
Mar ’25€5.65
€7.30
+29.2%
29.3%€10.60€4.80n/a5
Feb ’25€5.71
€7.18
+25.7%
27.2%€10.00€4.80n/a5
Jan ’25€4.80
€6.34
+32.1%
17.9%€8.00€4.80n/a5
Dec ’24€4.43
€6.34
+43.1%
17.9%€8.00€4.80n/a5
Nov ’24€3.76
€6.66
+77.2%
21.9%€8.60€4.80€4.095
Oct ’24€4.18
€6.66
+59.3%
21.9%€8.60€4.80€4.475
Sep ’24€4.23
€6.90
+63.0%
17.5%€8.60€5.40€4.745
Aug ’24€4.95
€7.48
+51.2%
14.9%€9.00€6.00€4.875
Jul ’24€5.39
€7.64
+41.9%
12.2%€9.00€6.40€6.185
Jun ’24€5.57
€7.64
+37.3%
12.2%€9.00€6.40€5.225
May ’24€6.02
€7.36
+22.4%
11.3%€8.60€6.30€5.465
Apr ’24€5.98
€7.36
+23.2%
11.3%€8.60€6.30€5.895
Mar ’24€5.88
€7.12
+21.2%
11.3%€8.50€6.00€5.655
Feb ’24€5.04
€6.52
+29.4%
12.9%€7.20€4.90€5.715
Jan ’24€4.05
€6.48
+60.3%
13.0%€7.20€4.90€4.805
Dec ’23€4.37
€6.60
+51.0%
9.4%€7.20€5.50€4.435
Nov ’23€3.87
€6.54
+69.0%
8.7%€7.02€5.50€3.765

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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