Stock Analysis

Vossloh AG (ETR:VOS) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

XTRA:VOS
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When close to half the companies in Germany have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider Vossloh AG (ETR:VOS) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 20.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Vossloh's earnings growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Vossloh

pe-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:VOS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 5th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Vossloh.

Is There Enough Growth For Vossloh?

Vossloh's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 3.3% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 48% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 13% per annum during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 14% per year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's curious that Vossloh's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Vossloh currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Vossloh, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.