Should You Investigate SGL Carbon SE (ETR:SGL) At €6.87?

SGL Carbon SE (ETR:SGL), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the XTRA. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at SGL Carbon’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for SGL Carbon

Is SGL Carbon Still Cheap?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 33%, trading at €6.87 compared to my intrinsic value of €5.17. This means that the opportunity to buy SGL Carbon at a good price has disappeared! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that SGL Carbon’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will SGL Carbon generate?

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for SGL Carbon, at least in the near future.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? If you believe SGL is currently trading above its value, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the uncertainty from negative growth in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SGL for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Price climbed passed its true value, in addition to a risky future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, SGL Carbon has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

If you are no longer interested in SGL Carbon, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.