Stock Analysis

Is MAX Automation (ETR:MXHN) A Risky Investment?

XTRA:MXHN
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies MAX Automation SE (ETR:MXHN) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for MAX Automation

What Is MAX Automation's Debt?

As you can see below, MAX Automation had €105.4m of debt at March 2021, down from €127.3m a year prior. However, it does have €27.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €77.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:MXHN Debt to Equity History June 2nd 2021

How Strong Is MAX Automation's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that MAX Automation had liabilities of €110.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €122.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €27.6m as well as receivables valued at €66.6m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €139.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of €124.3m, we think shareholders really should watch MAX Automation's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine MAX Automation's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year MAX Automation had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 29%, to €300m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did MAX Automation's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at €2.2m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. It's fair to say the loss of €18m didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how MAX Automation's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About XTRA:MXHN

MAX Automation

Engages in the provision of automation solutions for the automotive, electrical, recycling, raw materials recycling, packaging, and medical technology industries in Germany, rest of the European Union, North America, China, and internationally.

Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.