With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 16x in Germany, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Krones AG's (ETR:KRN) P/E ratio of 15.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Krones has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Krones
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Krones will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Krones would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 28%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% each year as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 13% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Krones is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Krones' P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Krones' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook is contributing to its current P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Krones with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Krones, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:KRN
Krones
Engages in the planning, development, and manufacture of machines and lines for the production, filling, and packaging technology in Germany and internationally.
Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.