Stock Analysis

INDUS Holding AG (ETR:INH) Just Released Its Annual Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

XTRA:INH
Source: Shutterstock

INDUS Holding AG (ETR:INH) last week reported its latest yearly results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. The results don't look great, especially considering that statutory losses grew 72% to€1.10 per share. Revenues of €1.6b did beat expectations by 4.0%, but it looks like a bit of a cold comfort. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

View our latest analysis for INDUS Holding

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:INH Earnings and Revenue Growth March 25th 2021

Following last week's earnings report, INDUS Holding's five analysts are forecasting 2021 revenues to be €1.65b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. INDUS Holding is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of €2.53 per share. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €1.65b and earnings per share (EPS) of €2.53 in 2021. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of €40.00, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on INDUS Holding, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at €50.00 and the most bearish at €30.00 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that INDUS Holding's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 1.1% annualised growth rate until the end of 2021 being well below the historical 4.9% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 4.1% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that INDUS Holding is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply revenues will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for INDUS Holding going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here..

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for INDUS Holding (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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