Stock Analysis

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Heidelberger Druckmaschinen (ETR:HDD)

XTRA:HDD
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Last week's profit announcement from Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:HDD) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline numbers being robust. We think that the market might be paying attention to some underlying factors are concerning.

View our latest analysis for Heidelberger Druckmaschinen

earnings-and-revenue-history
XTRA:HDD Earnings and Revenue History February 15th 2024

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

To properly understand Heidelberger Druckmaschinen's profit results, we need to consider the €11m gain attributed to unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Heidelberger Druckmaschinen's Profit Performance

Arguably, Heidelberger Druckmaschinen's statutory earnings have been distorted by unusual items boosting profit. Because of this, we think that it may be that Heidelberger Druckmaschinen's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 45% EPS growth in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. While it's really important to consider how well a company's statutory earnings represent its true earnings power, it's also worth taking a look at what analysts are forecasting for the future. So feel free to check out our free graph representing analyst forecasts.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Heidelberger Druckmaschinen is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About XTRA:HDD

Heidelberger Druckmaschinen

Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacture, sale, and dealing of printing presses and other print media industry products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia/Pacific, Eastern Europe, North America, and South America.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.