Stock Analysis

Heidelberger Druckmaschinen (ETR:HDD) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

XTRA:HDD
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:HDD) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Heidelberger Druckmaschinen

What Is Heidelberger Druckmaschinen's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Heidelberger Druckmaschinen had €148.0m of debt, an increase on €121.0m, over one year. On the flip side, it has €127.0m in cash leading to net debt of about €21.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:HDD Debt to Equity History April 26th 2024

A Look At Heidelberger Druckmaschinen's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Heidelberger Druckmaschinen had liabilities of €882.0m due within a year, and liabilities of €872.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €127.0m in cash and €379.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €1.25b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €259.9m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Heidelberger Druckmaschinen would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Heidelberger Druckmaschinen's net debt is only 0.15 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 15.8 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Another good sign is that Heidelberger Druckmaschinen has been able to increase its EBIT by 23% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Heidelberger Druckmaschinen's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last two years, Heidelberger Druckmaschinen burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Heidelberger Druckmaschinen's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Heidelberger Druckmaschinen's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Heidelberger Druckmaschinen you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Heidelberger Druckmaschinen is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About XTRA:HDD

Heidelberger Druckmaschinen

Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacture, sale, and dealing of printing presses and other print media industry products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia/Pacific, Eastern Europe, North America, and South America.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.