United Overseas Bank Limited

DB:UOB Stock Report

Market Cap: €42.9b

United Overseas Bank Valuation

Is UOB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UOB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UOB (€25.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€56.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UOB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UOB?

Key metric: As UOB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UOB. This is calculated by dividing UOB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UOB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.5x
EarningsS$5.81b
Market CapS$60.78b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UOB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UOB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.3x
CBK Commerzbank
8.1x8.8%€17.2b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.4x10.7%€462.9m
QNBK Qatar National Bank (Q.P.S.C.)
10.4x7.9%ر.ق157.9b
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10.2x8.6%€109.7m
UOB United Overseas Bank
10.5x5.1%€60.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UOB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the peer average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UOB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UOB 10.5xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies45PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UOB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UOB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UOB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.5x
Fair PE Ratio11.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UOB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UOB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.26
€27.23
+7.8%
6.4%€29.65€21.89n/a17
Nov ’25€22.10
€24.03
+8.7%
6.8%€27.72€20.25n/a17
Oct ’25€22.28
€23.68
+6.3%
7.9%€27.54€19.07n/a17
Sep ’25€21.56
€23.75
+10.2%
7.5%€27.53€19.07n/a17
Aug ’25€22.20
€23.82
+7.3%
7.2%€27.52€20.79n/a17
Jul ’25€21.29
€22.84
+7.3%
7.8%€27.11€20.49n/a17
Jun ’25€20.86
€22.84
+9.5%
7.8%€27.11€20.49n/a17
May ’25€20.76
€22.64
+9.0%
8.1%€27.24€19.56n/a18
Apr ’25€20.02
€22.30
+11.4%
8.3%€27.26€19.57n/a18
Mar ’25€19.25
€22.14
+15.0%
9.0%€27.32€18.58n/a18
Feb ’25€19.44
€22.09
+13.6%
9.0%€27.33€18.59n/a18
Jan ’25€19.99
€22.24
+11.3%
9.3%€27.45€18.67n/a17
Dec ’24€18.61
€22.14
+19.0%
8.9%€27.30€19.25n/a17
Nov ’24€18.64
€22.23
+19.2%
9.1%€27.42€19.34€22.1017
Oct ’24€19.63
€22.58
+15.0%
9.2%€27.47€19.37€22.2817
Sep ’24€19.31
€22.13
+14.6%
9.2%€26.90€18.98€21.5617
Aug ’24€20.46
€22.17
+8.4%
9.7%€27.06€18.26€22.2017
Jul ’24€18.90
€22.23
+17.6%
9.8%€27.47€18.54€21.2917
Jun ’24€19.16
€22.23
+16.0%
9.8%€27.47€18.54€20.8617
May ’24€19.09
€22.39
+17.3%
10.1%€27.00€19.04€20.7617
Apr ’24€20.45
€23.21
+13.5%
9.2%€27.50€19.40€20.0217
Mar ’24€20.90
€23.76
+13.7%
7.8%€26.99€19.63€19.2517
Feb ’24€20.73
€23.79
+14.8%
8.4%€27.93€19.55€19.4417
Jan ’24€21.41
€23.63
+10.4%
8.4%€27.78€19.44€19.9916
Dec ’23€21.87
€23.80
+8.8%
8.6%€28.16€19.71€18.6116
Nov ’23€19.79
€23.91
+20.8%
9.1%€28.60€20.02€18.6417

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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