Stock Yards Bancorp Valuation

Is S4Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of S4Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: S4Y (€73) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€113.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: S4Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for S4Y?

Key metric: As S4Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for S4Y. This is calculated by dividing S4Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is S4Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.3x
EarningsUS$106.79m
Market CapUS$2.24b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does S4Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for S4Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.9x
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.4x9.9%€471.2m
CBK Commerzbank
8.1x8.8%€17.3b
EFSC Enterprise Financial Services
12.9x0.1%US$2.3b
8341 77 Bank
10.1x10.8%JP¥335.4b
S4Y Stock Yards Bancorp
21.3x8.6%€2.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: S4Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.3x) compared to the peer average (9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does S4Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
S4Y 21.3xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies47PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: S4Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.3x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is S4Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

S4Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.3x
Fair PE Ratio10.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: S4Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst S4Y forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€73.00
€67.63
-7.4%
5.0%€72.19€64.59n/a5
Nov ’25€59.00
€63.36
+7.4%
1.2%€64.65€62.80n/a5
Oct ’25€53.50
€59.23
+10.7%
2.6%€61.68€57.14n/a5
Sep ’25€54.00
€60.15
+11.4%
2.9%€62.69€58.08n/a4
Aug ’25€54.50
€60.15
+10.4%
2.9%€62.69€58.08n/a4
Jul ’25€45.40
€50.34
+10.9%
6.1%€55.93€46.61n/a5
Jun ’25€42.60
€50.34
+18.2%
6.1%€55.93€46.61n/a5
May ’25€41.20
€50.34
+22.2%
6.1%€55.93€46.61n/a5
Apr ’25€45.00
€50.06
+11.3%
7.6%€57.27€46.19n/a5
Mar ’25€41.20
€51.89
+26.0%
7.1%€57.11€48.82n/a3
Feb ’25€44.40
€51.89
+16.9%
7.1%€57.11€48.82n/a3
Jan ’25€46.40
€46.96
+1.2%
15.2%€56.35€39.08n/a3
Dec ’24€42.40
€42.10
-0.7%
6.8%€46.10€39.64n/a3
Nov ’24€36.60
€45.70
+24.9%
10.8%€53.04€40.73€59.004
Oct ’24€36.60
€49.31
+34.7%
12.2%€55.21€38.08€53.505
Sep ’24€42.60
€49.47
+16.1%
5.6%€53.34€45.98€54.005
Aug ’24€42.40
€49.60
+17.0%
4.9%€52.88€45.59€54.505
Jul ’24€41.20
€50.48
+22.5%
11.3%€59.55€41.69€45.405
Jun ’24€39.00
€50.86
+30.4%
9.3%€59.25€44.66€42.605
May ’24€43.60
€50.86
+16.7%
9.3%€59.25€44.66€41.205
Apr ’24€50.50
€58.86
+16.6%
10.2%€67.85€50.43€45.005
Mar ’24€54.00
€61.71
+14.3%
5.8%€67.95€57.85€41.205
Feb ’24€54.00
€61.71
+14.3%
5.8%€67.95€57.85€44.405
Jan ’24€61.00
€70.01
+14.8%
4.1%€73.94€65.52€46.405
Dec ’23€69.50
€75.45
+8.6%
3.9%€79.26€70.23€42.405
Nov ’23€78.50
€75.45
-3.9%
3.9%€79.26€70.23€36.605

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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