The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

DB:PNP Stock Report

Market Cap: €77.1b

PNC Financial Services Group Valuation

Is PNP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PNP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PNP (€192) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€349.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PNP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PNP?

Key metric: As PNP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PNP. This is calculated by dividing PNP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PNP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.1x
EarningsUS$4.73b
Market CapUS$81.29b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PNP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PNP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.3x
CBK Commerzbank
8.7x8.8%€18.7b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.3x9.9%€465.3m
USB U.S. Bancorp
15.5x11.6%US$78.6b
WBC Westpac Banking
16.5x0.1%AU$115.2b
PNP PNC Financial Services Group
17.1x12.9%€81.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PNP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the peer average (11.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PNP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PNP 17.1xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies45PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PNP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PNP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PNP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.1x
Fair PE Ratio13.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PNP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PNP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€192.00
€194.36
+1.2%
8.6%€221.79€165.17n/a20
Nov ’25€174.00
€186.30
+7.1%
7.8%€210.54€160.90n/a20
Oct ’25€162.00
€170.41
+5.2%
7.7%€193.33€146.35n/a20
Sep ’25€165.00
€168.16
+1.9%
7.5%€187.39€145.25n/a21
Aug ’25€165.00
€171.49
+3.9%
8.1%€193.01€147.76n/a21
Jul ’25€143.00
€157.92
+10.4%
7.1%€185.33€141.56n/a21
Jun ’25€141.00
€157.16
+11.5%
7.0%€184.85€141.19n/a21
May ’25€144.00
€158.02
+9.7%
6.9%€186.12€142.17n/a21
Apr ’25€147.00
€154.33
+5.0%
7.9%€185.27€135.00n/a21
Mar ’25€134.00
€150.77
+12.5%
8.1%€183.48€130.00n/a21
Feb ’25€136.00
€151.21
+11.2%
8.2%€184.17€130.50n/a21
Jan ’25€141.00
€132.85
-5.8%
11.0%€162.63€99.39n/a23
Dec ’24€121.00
€128.65
+6.3%
12.0%€161.83€101.15n/a22
Nov ’24€107.00
€131.35
+22.8%
12.3%€166.30€103.94€174.0022
Oct ’24€117.00
€132.80
+13.5%
12.6%€164.72€102.95€162.0022
Sep ’24€110.00
€131.85
+19.9%
11.9%€162.69€103.53€165.0022
Aug ’24€122.00
€128.53
+5.4%
11.7%€159.10€101.25€165.0022
Jul ’24€114.00
€131.07
+15.0%
12.2%€170.45€108.14€143.0021
Jun ’24€107.00
€130.76
+22.2%
12.5%€168.76€107.06€141.0021
May ’24€116.00
€132.82
+14.5%
13.2%€169.54€107.56€144.0021
Apr ’24€115.00
€155.80
+35.5%
12.9%€200.97€121.69€147.0021
Mar ’24€146.00
€163.02
+11.7%
9.9%€203.85€133.72€134.0021
Feb ’24€150.00
€160.18
+6.8%
10.5%€200.97€131.83€136.0021
Jan ’24€147.00
€168.97
+14.9%
10.1%€209.43€140.57€141.0021
Dec ’23€157.00
€169.43
+7.9%
10.2%€210.90€141.55€121.0021
Nov ’23€162.00
€180.82
+11.6%
10.3%€224.75€150.85€107.0021

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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