SBI Shinsei Bank Valuation

Is LCJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LCJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LCJ (€17.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€16.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LCJ is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LCJ?

Key metric: As LCJ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LCJ. This is calculated by dividing LCJ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LCJ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.2x
EarningsJP¥61.91b
Market CapJP¥567.13b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LCJ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LCJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.3x
CBK Commerzbank
8.5x8.8%€18.2b
1963 Bank of Chongqing
3.8xn/aHK$27.3b
UCB United Community Banks
22.3x18.8%US$4.0b
TFSL TFS Financial
50.8x4.2%US$4.0b
LCJ SBI Shinsei Bank
9.2x-13.0%€567.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LCJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the peer average (9.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LCJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LCJ 9.2xIndustry Avg. 7.4xNo. of Companies46PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LCJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LCJ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LCJ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.2x
Fair PE Ratio5.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LCJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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