Credito Emiliano Valuation

Is EAO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EAO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EAO (€10.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€19.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EAO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EAO?

Key metric: As EAO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EAO. This is calculated by dividing EAO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EAO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.6x
Earnings€608.97m
Market Cap€3.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EAO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EAO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.9x
CBK Commerzbank
8.1x8.8%€17.3b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.4x9.9%€471.2m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10x8.6%€107.3m
533295 Punjab & Sind Bank
49xn/a₹330.8b
EAO Credito Emiliano
5.6x-10.3%€3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EAO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the peer average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EAO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EAO 5.6xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies47PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EAO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EAO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EAO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.6x
Fair PE Ratio7.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EAO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EAO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.12
€11.92
+17.8%
8.6%€13.24€10.60n/a8
Nov ’25€9.77
€11.71
+19.8%
8.2%€12.87€10.40n/a8
Oct ’25€10.06
€11.76
+16.9%
8.2%€13.05€10.60n/a8
Sep ’25€9.97
€11.76
+17.9%
8.2%€13.05€10.60n/a8
Aug ’25€9.89
€11.58
+17.1%
7.3%€12.98€10.60n/a8
Jul ’25€9.43
€11.50
+22.0%
7.9%€13.31€10.60n/a8
Jun ’25€9.52
€11.53
+21.1%
7.7%€13.31€10.60n/a8
May ’25€9.84
€11.23
+14.1%
10.0%€13.73€10.00n/a8
Apr ’25€9.22
€10.78
+16.9%
12.7%€13.73€9.00n/a8
Mar ’25€8.99
€10.66
+18.6%
10.6%€12.80€9.00n/a8
Feb ’25€8.31
€10.41
+25.3%
12.3%€12.80€8.40n/a8
Jan ’25€7.89
€10.33
+30.9%
9.7%€11.93€8.80n/a8
Dec ’24€8.15
€10.33
+26.7%
9.7%€11.93€8.80n/a8
Nov ’24€7.52
€10.12
+34.5%
10.8%€11.83€8.80€9.778
Oct ’24€7.78
€10.07
+29.4%
10.1%€11.44€8.80€10.068
Sep ’24€7.63
€9.80
+28.5%
9.6%€11.44€8.80€9.979
Aug ’24€7.65
€9.53
+24.5%
8.4%€11.44€8.80€9.899
Jul ’24€7.12
€9.37
+31.6%
7.7%€10.63€8.30€9.439
Jun ’24€6.48
€9.37
+44.6%
7.7%€10.63€8.30€9.529
May ’24€6.92
€9.20
+32.9%
7.8%€10.69€8.30€9.849
Apr ’24€6.89
€9.14
+32.7%
7.3%€10.69€8.30€9.229
Mar ’24€8.13
€9.31
+14.5%
8.5%€10.69€8.30€8.999
Feb ’24€7.87
€8.59
+9.1%
6.9%€9.30€7.60€8.319
Jan ’24€6.63
€7.54
+13.8%
6.6%€8.20€6.90€7.899
Dec ’23€6.54
€7.47
+14.2%
6.0%€8.10€6.90€8.159
Nov ’23€5.93
€6.81
+14.8%
8.5%€7.50€6.00€7.529

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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