Santander Bank Polska S.A.

DB:BZI Stock Report

Market Cap: €11.2b

Santander Bank Polska Valuation

Is BZI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BZI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BZI (€107) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€230.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BZI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BZI?

Key metric: As BZI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BZI. This is calculated by dividing BZI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BZI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.1x
Earningszł5.28b
Market Capzł47.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BZI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BZI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.4x
CBK Commerzbank
8.7x8.9%€18.5b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.4x12.2%€464.1m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
9.8x10.7%€105.8m
BPI Bank of the Philippine Islands
10.5x7.4%₱643.2b
BZI Santander Bank Polska
9.1x5.1%€47.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BZI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the peer average (8.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BZI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BZI 9.1xIndustry Avg. 7.7xNo. of Companies42PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BZI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BZI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BZI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.1x
Fair PE Ratio10.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BZI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BZI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€107.00
€131.02
+22.5%
11.7%€150.09€110.40n/a9
Dec ’25€101.30
€130.49
+28.8%
10.5%€148.36€109.12n/a9
Nov ’25€102.60
€132.25
+28.9%
9.9%€149.45€109.92n/a9
Oct ’25€106.45
€132.25
+24.2%
9.9%€149.45€109.92n/a9
Sep ’25€119.80
€131.84
+10.1%
10.1%€148.70€109.37n/a9
Aug ’25€120.35
€130.76
+8.6%
10.3%€148.82€109.46n/a9
Jul ’25€128.80
€126.48
-1.8%
14.2%€149.37€98.18n/a9
Jun ’25€119.35
€127.28
+6.6%
14.8%€151.15€98.27n/a9
May ’25€130.35
€124.58
-4.4%
15.5%€149.20€97.01n/a9
Apr ’25€128.60
€120.04
-6.7%
15.6%€149.97€97.51n/a8
Mar ’25€127.70
€110.45
-13.5%
10.3%€129.41€94.18n/a9
Feb ’25€111.40
€110.62
-0.7%
10.6%€129.91€94.54n/a9
Jan ’25€112.40
€100.89
-10.2%
13.2%€129.60€82.10n/a9
Dec ’24€113.10
€94.81
-16.2%
16.2%€111.99€59.14€101.309
Nov ’24€101.80
€89.19
-12.4%
17.5%€109.03€57.58€102.609
Oct ’24€74.55
€78.92
+5.9%
15.2%€89.17€51.31€106.459
Sep ’24€82.60
€82.46
-0.2%
15.8%€95.31€53.12€119.809
Aug ’24€88.00
€79.43
-9.7%
20.6%€96.97€45.42€120.359
Jul ’24€87.75
€77.55
-11.6%
18.3%€94.69€45.09€128.808
Jun ’24€74.20
€73.68
-0.7%
16.7%€90.21€44.15€119.358
May ’24€75.40
€70.26
-6.8%
16.9%€89.17€48.00€130.358
Apr ’24€63.65
€63.42
-0.4%
15.0%€75.27€47.04€128.609
Mar ’24€63.15
€62.17
-1.6%
14.0%€74.45€50.06€127.709
Feb ’24€60.55
€60.11
-0.7%
12.2%€71.87€50.18€111.4010
Jan ’24€55.40
€59.85
+8.0%
11.2%€70.14€50.32€112.4010
Dec ’23€58.65
€59.17
+0.9%
11.8%€70.12€46.89€113.1010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 16:02
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Santander Bank Polska S.A. is covered by 32 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andreas MarkouBerenberg
Kamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku
Olga VeselovaBofA Global Research