Aptiv Valuation

Is J9S undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of J9S when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: J9S (€54.87) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€126.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: J9S is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for J9S?

Key metric: As J9S is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for J9S. This is calculated by dividing J9S's market cap by their current earnings.
What is J9S's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.7x
EarningsUS$2.42b
Market CapUS$13.83b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does J9S's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for J9S vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.5x
CON Continental
12.8x23.1%€12.8b
HLE HELLA GmbH KGaA
28.9x12.2%€9.5b
SHA0 Schaeffler
27.6x73.0%€4.0b
SFQ SAF-Holland
8.7x14.3%€672.7m
J9S Aptiv
5.7x-15.8%€13.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: J9S is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the peer average (19.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does J9S's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
J9S 5.7xIndustry Avg. 9.2xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: J9S is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is J9S's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

J9S PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.7x
Fair PE Ratio4.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: J9S is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst J9S forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€54.87
€71.95
+31.1%
18.4%€99.92€50.43n/a22
Dec ’25€52.44
€72.46
+38.2%
18.3%€99.49€50.22n/a22
Nov ’25€51.77
€74.93
+44.7%
20.7%€106.12€48.91n/a22
Oct ’25€64.24
€83.05
+29.3%
19.7%€132.80€56.91n/a22
Sep ’25€63.82
€84.82
+32.9%
19.1%€133.36€57.15n/a23
Aug ’25€63.87
€87.21
+36.5%
18.6%€136.22€57.46n/a23
Jul ’25€65.24
€93.84
+43.8%
19.5%€135.49€57.93n/a22
Jun ’25€75.41
€94.23
+25.0%
18.6%€133.41€57.05n/a22
May ’25€67.37
€95.80
+42.2%
20.1%€138.94€54.45n/a22
Apr ’25€72.86
€98.43
+35.1%
21.0%€144.31€54.00n/a22
Mar ’25€73.26
€100.26
+36.9%
21.7%€144.12€53.93n/a23
Feb ’25€75.04
€101.28
+35.0%
19.9%€142.60€63.48n/a23
Jan ’25€80.82
€105.63
+30.7%
20.4%€140.88€62.71n/a23
Dec ’24€75.48
€106.51
+41.1%
19.9%€141.10€62.81€52.4424
Nov ’24€82.02
€123.80
+50.9%
15.2%€154.93€77.47€51.7724
Oct ’24€93.36
€123.44
+32.2%
14.7%€155.13€77.56€64.2424
Sep ’24€93.26
€120.54
+29.3%
15.3%€150.40€75.20€63.8223
Aug ’24€99.14
€115.52
+16.5%
16.1%€143.76€72.78€63.8723
Jul ’24€92.30
€117.90
+27.7%
16.1%€148.43€75.14€65.2423
Jun ’24€81.96
€118.46
+44.5%
16.5%€149.30€75.58€75.4122
May ’24€91.80
€120.28
+31.0%
16.0%€143.83€70.09€67.3722
Apr ’24€100.36
€123.52
+23.1%
15.7%€145.74€71.02€72.8623
Mar ’24€109.36
€125.03
+14.3%
16.0%€147.86€72.06€73.2623
Feb ’24€103.36
€108.97
+5.4%
15.1%€145.71€70.56€75.0423
Jan ’24€87.35
€113.46
+29.9%
17.2%€149.63€72.46€80.8223
Dec ’23€101.38
€116.39
+14.8%
17.4%€153.99€74.57€75.4823

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 06:14
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Aptiv PLC is covered by 45 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Luke JunkBaird
Dan LevyBarclays
Brian JohnsonBarclays