Schaeffler Valuation

Is SHA0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SHA0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SHA0 (€4.41) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SHA0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SHA0?

Key metric: As SHA0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SHA0. This is calculated by dividing SHA0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SHA0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.9x
Earnings€144.00m
Market Cap€4.16b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SHA0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SHA0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.3x
HLE HELLA GmbH KGaA
30.5x17.1%€10.0b
CON Continental
13x23.5%€13.1b
SFQ SAF-Holland
8.3x14.3%€641.9m
NVM Novem Group
9.3x17.2%€258.2m
SHA0 Schaeffler
28.9x73.1%€4.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SHA0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x) compared to the peer average (15.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SHA0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SHA0 28.9xIndustry Avg. 9.4xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SHA0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SHA0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SHA0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.9x
Fair PE Ratio28.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SHA0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SHA0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.41
€5.87
+33.3%
27.8%€8.80€4.00n/a10
Dec ’25€4.46
€6.04
+35.4%
26.9%€8.80€4.00n/a9
Nov ’25€4.56
€6.09
+33.5%
30.5%€8.80€4.00n/a9
Oct ’25€4.63
€6.13
+32.4%
29.5%€8.80€4.20n/a9
Sep ’25€4.69
€6.72
+43.3%
24.9%€9.50€4.50n/a10
Aug ’25€4.98
€6.77
+35.9%
23.9%€9.50€4.90n/a10
Jul ’25€5.35
€7.08
+32.5%
25.3%€10.00€4.90n/a10
Jun ’25€5.93
€7.10
+19.8%
24.4%€10.00€4.90n/a8
May ’25€5.48
€6.70
+22.3%
21.6%€8.80€4.90n/a7
Apr ’25€6.25
€6.70
+7.2%
21.6%€8.80€4.90n/a7
Mar ’25€6.53
€6.38
-2.3%
18.6%€8.20€4.50n/a8
Feb ’25€5.88
€6.07
+3.3%
17.5%€8.00€4.50n/a9
Jan ’25€5.60
€6.07
+8.4%
17.5%€8.00€4.50n/a9
Dec ’24€5.06
€6.02
+19.0%
18.5%€8.00€4.50€4.469
Nov ’24€4.89
€6.20
+26.8%
17.0%€8.00€4.50€4.568
Oct ’24€5.46
€6.57
+20.5%
15.0%€8.00€4.90€4.6312
Sep ’24€5.45
€6.57
+20.7%
15.0%€8.00€4.90€4.6912
Aug ’24€5.77
€6.66
+15.4%
15.0%€8.00€4.90€4.9812
Jul ’24€5.65
€6.87
+21.6%
17.1%€9.50€5.20€5.3512
Jun ’24€5.77
€6.84
+18.5%
17.0%€9.50€5.20€5.9312
May ’24€6.57
€7.14
+8.7%
16.2%€9.50€5.30€5.4812
Apr ’24€7.02
€6.91
-1.5%
13.2%€8.00€5.30€6.2512
Mar ’24€6.88
€6.62
-3.8%
15.7%€8.00€4.50€6.5312
Feb ’24€6.63
€6.46
-2.5%
15.6%€8.00€4.50€5.8812
Jan ’24€6.37
€6.13
-3.8%
22.5%€9.00€4.50€5.6012
Dec ’23€6.43
€6.04
-6.0%
21.8%€9.00€4.50€5.0612

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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