Seiren Co.,Ltd.

DB:1AB Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.0b

SeirenLtd Valuation

Is 1AB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1AB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1AB (€16.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€24.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1AB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1AB?

Key metric: As 1AB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1AB. This is calculated by dividing 1AB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1AB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.4x
EarningsJP¥13.11b
Market CapJP¥162.92b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1AB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1AB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.7x
SFQ SAF-Holland
8x14.3%€618.3m
SHA0 Schaeffler
29.1x71.5%€4.2b
NVM Novem Group
9.1x17.2%€254.7m
ED4 EDAG Engineering Group
8.7x18.8%€182.5m
1AB SeirenLtd
12.4x8.0%€162.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1AB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the peer average (13.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1AB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1AB 12.4xIndustry Avg. 9.1xNo. of Companies9PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1AB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1AB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1AB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.4x
Fair PE Ratio6.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1AB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1AB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€16.80
€20.99
+25.0%
9.1%€22.90€19.08n/a2
Nov ’25€15.40
€20.29
+31.8%
14.1%€23.15€17.43n/a2
Oct ’25€16.50
€20.29
+23.0%
14.1%€23.15€17.43n/a2
Sep ’25€14.40
€20.36
+41.4%
15.5%€23.52€17.20n/a2
Aug ’25€14.10
€20.80
+47.5%
12.2%€23.33€18.28n/a2
Jul ’25€13.70
€20.80
+51.9%
12.2%€23.33€18.28n/a2
Jun ’25€14.30
€20.80
+45.5%
12.2%€23.33€18.28n/a2
May ’25€15.50
€20.80
+34.2%
12.2%€23.33€18.28n/a2
Apr ’25€16.60
€20.80
+25.3%
12.2%€23.33€18.28n/a2
Mar ’25€15.40
€19.51
+26.7%
4.8%€20.44€18.58n/a2
Feb ’25€15.20
€19.52
+28.4%
4.8%€20.44€18.59n/a2
Jan ’25€15.60
€19.52
+25.1%
4.8%€20.44€18.59n/a2
Dec ’24€14.40
€19.52
+35.5%
4.8%€20.44€18.59n/a2
Nov ’24€13.90
€19.98
+43.8%
4.8%€20.94€19.03€15.402
Oct ’24€14.70
€19.98
+35.9%
4.8%€20.94€19.03€16.502
Sep ’24€15.00
€20.74
+38.2%
0.2%€20.77€20.70€14.402
Aug ’24€15.30
€20.74
+35.5%
0.2%€20.77€20.70€14.102
Jul ’24€15.40
€20.74
+34.7%
0.2%€20.77€20.70€13.702
Jun ’24€14.60
€20.74
+42.0%
0.2%€20.77€20.70€14.302
May ’24€14.90
€20.74
+39.2%
0.2%€20.77€20.70€15.502
Apr ’24€15.90
€20.74
+30.4%
0.2%€20.77€20.70€16.602
Jan ’24€17.10
€17.97
+5.1%
7.9%€19.39€16.55€15.602
Dec ’23€18.10
€17.97
-0.7%
7.9%€19.39€16.55€14.402
Nov ’23€15.60
€18.51
+18.6%
6.1%€19.64€17.38€13.902

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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