EDAG Engineering Group AG

XTRA:ED4 Stock Report

Market Cap: €267.5m

EDAG Engineering Group Valuation

Is ED4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ED4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ED4 (€10.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€13.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ED4 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ED4?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ED4 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.4x
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ED4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ED4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.3x
NVM Novem Group
5.4x19.3%€247.0m
ZIL2 ElringKlinger
10.8x22.1%€425.1m
GMM Grammer
91.2x58.3%€164.0m
PWO PWO
5.9x10.8%€95.0m
ED4 EDAG Engineering Group
9.3x9.0%€267.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ED4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x) compared to the peer average (28.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ED4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ED4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ED4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ED4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.3x
Fair PE Ratio6.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ED4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ED4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.70
€14.33
+34.0%
4.4%€15.00€13.50n/a3
Apr ’25€12.70
€14.50
+14.2%
4.9%€15.00€13.50n/a3
Mar ’25€13.55
€14.50
+7.0%
4.9%€15.00€13.50n/a3
Feb ’25€13.20
€14.50
+9.8%
4.9%€15.00€13.50n/a3
Jan ’25€13.70
€14.50
+5.8%
4.9%€15.00€13.50n/a3
Dec ’24€12.20
€14.50
+18.9%
4.9%€15.00€13.50n/a3
Nov ’24€12.60
€14.33
+13.8%
6.6%€15.00€13.00n/a3
Oct ’24€11.65
€14.33
+23.0%
6.6%€15.00€13.00n/a3
Sep ’24€11.35
€14.33
+26.3%
6.6%€15.00€13.00n/a3
Aug ’24€10.70
€14.33
+34.0%
6.6%€15.00€13.00n/a3
Jul ’24€11.15
€14.33
+28.6%
6.6%€15.00€13.00n/a3
Jun ’24€11.10
€14.33
+29.1%
6.6%€15.00€13.00n/a3
May ’24€10.60
€14.33
+35.2%
6.6%€15.00€13.00n/a3
Apr ’24€10.50
€14.33
+36.5%
6.6%€15.00€13.00€12.703
Mar ’24€10.70
€14.30
+33.6%
9.3%€16.50€13.00€13.555
Feb ’24€10.30
€14.30
+38.8%
9.3%€16.50€13.00€13.205
Jan ’24€10.10
€14.30
+41.6%
9.3%€16.50€13.00€13.705
Dec ’23€10.55
€14.30
+35.5%
9.3%€16.50€13.00€12.205
Nov ’23€10.05
€14.30
+42.3%
9.3%€16.50€13.00€12.605
Oct ’23€10.10
€14.30
+41.6%
9.3%€16.50€13.00€11.655
Sep ’23€11.35
€14.30
+26.0%
9.3%€16.50€13.00€11.355
Aug ’23€11.50
€15.40
+33.9%
12.0%€18.00€13.00€10.705
Jul ’23€11.70
€15.40
+31.6%
12.0%€18.00€13.00€11.155
Jun ’23€11.55
€15.40
+33.3%
12.0%€18.00€13.00€11.105
May ’23€11.75
€15.40
+31.1%
12.0%€18.00€13.00€10.605
Apr ’23€12.25
€15.00
+22.4%
15.2%€18.00€12.00€10.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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