Stock Analysis

Cautious Investors Not Rewarding HWA AG's (ETR:H9W) Performance Completely

XTRA:H9W
Source: Shutterstock

It's not a stretch to say that HWA AG's (ETR:H9W) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Auto industry in Germany, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for HWA

ps-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:H9W Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 23rd 2024

What Does HWA's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

HWA has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on HWA will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For HWA?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like HWA's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 10%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 25% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 0.6%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this information, we find it interesting that HWA is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We didn't quite envision HWA's P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for HWA that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether HWA is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.