Stock Analysis

CEZ, a. s. (SEP:CEZ) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

SEP:CEZ
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When close to half the companies in Czech Republic have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 12x, you may consider CEZ, a. s. (SEP:CEZ) as an attractive investment with its 8.5x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times have been pleasing for CEZ a. s as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for CEZ a. s

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEP:CEZ Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think CEZ a. s' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For CEZ a. s?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like CEZ a. s' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.4% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 308% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 36% as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 13% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that CEZ a. s' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of CEZ a. s' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for CEZ a. s (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of CEZ a. s' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CEZ a. s is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.