MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság Valuation
Is MOL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of MOL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: MOL (CZK176) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CZK281.54)
Significantly Below Fair Value: MOL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MOL?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is MOL's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | Ft1.92t |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.3x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 2.7x |
| PEG Ratio | -0.6x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does MOL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 13.6x | ||
INA INA-Industrija nafte d.d | 17.7x | n/a | €4.9b |
600256 Guanghui Energy | 16.1x | 33.2% | CN¥48.0b |
SNP OMV Petrom | 11.1x | 8.3% | RON44.0b |
OMV OMV | 9.3x | 7.0% | €14.4b |
MOL MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság | 3.6x | -5.8% | Kč1.9t |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MOL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.6x) compared to the peer average (13.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does MOL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MOL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.6x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MOL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 3.6x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MOL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Kč176.00 | Kč216.54 +23.0% | 14.6% | Kč255.90 | Kč156.95 | n/a | 7 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Kč217.11 0% | 14.6% | Kč256.57 | Kč157.36 | n/a | 7 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Kč208.22 0% | 16.7% | Kč262.57 | Kč157.53 | n/a | 8 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Kč205.67 0% | 15.7% | Kč261.58 | Kč156.93 | n/a | 9 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Kč205.67 0% | 15.7% | Kč261.58 | Kč156.93 | n/a | 9 |
| Dec ’24 | Kč170.00 | Kč205.67 +21.0% | 15.7% | Kč261.58 | Kč156.93 | n/a | 9 |
| Nov ’24 | Kč173.00 | Kč205.59 +18.8% | 20.7% | Kč299.38 | Kč149.63 | n/a | 9 |
| Oct ’24 | Kč167.00 | Kč196.67 +17.8% | 16.6% | Kč260.97 | Kč146.02 | n/a | 10 |
| Sep ’24 | Kč175.00 | Kč202.66 +15.8% | 15.1% | Kč264.23 | Kč147.84 | n/a | 9 |
| Aug ’24 | Kč176.00 | Kč202.89 +15.3% | 15.3% | Kč268.64 | Kč150.31 | n/a | 10 |
| Jul ’24 | Kč173.00 | Kč206.93 +19.6% | 14.3% | Kč260.82 | Kč151.74 | n/a | 11 |
| Jun ’24 | Kč170.00 | Kč206.61 +21.5% | 13.0% | Kč258.56 | Kč166.58 | n/a | 11 |
| May ’24 | Kč181.00 | Kč203.92 +12.7% | 13.4% | Kč251.73 | Kč162.18 | Kč176.00 | 11 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Kč202.80 0% | 13.2% | Kč250.87 | Kč161.71 | n/a | 11 |
| Mar ’24 | Kč150.00 | Kč205.28 +36.9% | 14.4% | Kč262.79 | Kč163.18 | n/a | 11 |
| Feb ’24 | Kč165.00 | Kč196.62 +19.2% | 14.6% | Kč253.46 | Kč157.39 | n/a | 11 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | Kč198.98 0% | 14.3% | Kč252.84 | Kč157.00 | n/a | 10 |
| Dec ’23 | Kč143.00 | Kč196.08 +37.1% | 14.4% | Kč248.47 | Kč154.29 | Kč170.00 | 10 |
| Nov ’23 | Kč152.00 | Kč193.56 +27.3% | 13.4% | Kč248.37 | Kč154.22 | Kč173.00 | 10 |
| Oct ’23 | Kč143.70 | Kč208.60 +45.2% | 18.1% | Kč283.86 | Kč160.10 | Kč167.00 | 9 |
| Sep ’23 | Kč170.90 | Kč209.18 +22.4% | 16.9% | Kč284.89 | Kč169.59 | Kč175.00 | 10 |
| Aug ’23 | Kč175.30 | Kč210.21 +19.9% | 17.7% | Kč302.93 | Kč169.24 | Kč176.00 | 10 |
| Jul ’23 | Kč185.80 | Kč210.88 +13.5% | 12.7% | Kč265.38 | Kč175.21 | Kč173.00 | 10 |
| Jun ’23 | Kč174.00 | Kč208.18 +19.6% | 14.0% | Kč265.20 | Kč175.09 | Kč170.00 | 9 |
| May ’23 | n/a | Kč219.10 0% | 14.0% | Kč274.89 | Kč181.49 | Kč181.00 | 12 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.