MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság

SEP:MOL Stock Report

Market Cap: Kč117.1b

MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság Valuation

Is MOL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MOL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
Kč259.05
Fair Value
28.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: MOL (CZK185) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CZK259.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MOL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MOL?

Key metric: As MOL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MOL. This is calculated by dividing MOL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MOL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.9x
EarningsFt486.42b
Market CapFt1.88t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MOL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MOL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.7x
INA INA-Industrija nafte d.d
18xn/a€4.6b
600256 Guanghui Energy
17.1x32.2%CN¥39.7b
SNP OMV Petrom
11.2x10.4%RON 47.0b
GALP Galp Energia SGPS
8.4x-10.0%€11.2b
MOL MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság
3.9x-6.9%Kč1.9t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MOL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.9x) compared to the peer average (13.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MOL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MOL 3.9xIndustry Avg. 9.0xNo. of Companies17PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MOL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.9x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MOL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MOL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MOL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MOL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentKč185.00
Kč201.74
+9.1%
11.5%Kč247.60Kč161.10n/a11
Feb ’26Kč185.00
Kč201.46
+8.9%
12.0%Kč246.45Kč160.35n/a10
Jan ’26Kč185.00
Kč197.20
+6.6%
12.3%Kč243.33Kč158.32n/a10
Dec ’25n/a
Kč201.84
0%
11.0%Kč233.99Kč159.05n/a10
Nov ’25n/a
Kč210.69
0%
11.0%Kč239.76Kč162.98n/a9
Oct ’25Kč185.00
Kč216.87
+17.2%
10.1%Kč243.46Kč165.49n/a9
Sep ’25n/a
Kč224.26
0%
6.5%Kč254.38Kč203.86n/a9
Aug ’25Kč195.00
Kč227.24
+16.5%
6.6%Kč258.21Kč209.84n/a9
Jul ’25n/a
Kč223.19
0%
6.5%Kč249.33Kč202.62n/a7
Jun ’25Kč190.00
Kč223.92
+17.9%
8.9%Kč256.19Kč186.06n/a8
May ’25Kč176.00
Kč217.11
+23.4%
14.6%Kč256.57Kč157.36n/a7
Apr ’25n/a
Kč217.11
0%
14.6%Kč256.57Kč157.36n/a7
Mar ’25n/a
Kč209.65
0%
16.7%Kč264.37Kč158.61n/a8
Feb ’25n/a
Kč205.67
0%
15.7%Kč261.58Kč156.93Kč185.009
Jan ’25n/a
Kč205.67
0%
15.7%Kč261.58Kč156.93Kč185.009
Dec ’24Kč170.00
Kč205.67
+21.0%
15.7%Kč261.58Kč156.93n/a9
Nov ’24Kč173.00
Kč205.59
+18.8%
20.7%Kč299.38Kč149.63n/a9
Oct ’24Kč167.00
Kč196.67
+17.8%
16.6%Kč260.97Kč146.02Kč185.0010
Sep ’24Kč175.00
Kč202.66
+15.8%
15.1%Kč264.23Kč147.84n/a9
Aug ’24Kč176.00
Kč202.89
+15.3%
15.3%Kč268.64Kč150.31Kč195.0010
Jul ’24Kč173.00
Kč206.93
+19.6%
14.3%Kč260.82Kč151.74n/a11
Jun ’24Kč170.00
Kč206.61
+21.5%
13.0%Kč258.56Kč166.58Kč190.0011
May ’24Kč181.00
Kč203.92
+12.7%
13.4%Kč251.73Kč162.18Kč176.0011
Apr ’24n/a
Kč202.80
0%
13.2%Kč250.87Kč161.71n/a11
Mar ’24Kč150.00
Kč205.28
+36.9%
14.4%Kč262.79Kč163.18n/a11
Feb ’24Kč165.00
Kč196.62
+19.2%
14.6%Kč253.46Kč157.39n/a11
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Kč203.49
Fair Value
9.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/12 01:33
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/12 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság is covered by 31 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Lucy HaskinsBarclays
Yuriy KukhtanychBerenberg
Kamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku