Almacenes Éxito Valuation

Is EXITO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EXITO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EXITO (COP2135) is trading below our estimate of fair value (COP9866.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXITO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXITO?

Key metric: As EXITO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EXITO. This is calculated by dividing EXITO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EXITO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio91x
EarningsCol$30.47b
Market CapCol$2.78t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EXITO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EXITO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.1x
HAGA Hagar hf
21.4xn/aISK 103.6b
RRHI Robinsons Retail Holdings
5.6x-11.3%₱52.3b
003010 Guangzhou Ruoyuchen TechnologyLtd
41.2xn/aCN¥3.2b
MERS Al Meera Consumer Goods Company Q.P.S.C
16.1x7.9%ر.ق3.0b
EXITO Almacenes Éxito
91x50.6%Col$2.8t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXITO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (91x) compared to the peer average (21.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EXITO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EXITO 91.0xIndustry Avg. 15.3xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXITO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (91x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (15.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EXITO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EXITO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio91x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate EXITO's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EXITO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCol$2,135.00
Col$3,750.00
+75.6%
12.0%Col$4,200.00Col$3,300.00n/a2
Nov ’25Col$2,320.00
Col$3,750.00
+61.6%
12.0%Col$4,200.00Col$3,300.00n/a2
Oct ’25Col$2,190.00
Col$3,666.67
+67.4%
10.5%Col$4,200.00Col$3,300.00n/a3
Sep ’25Col$2,290.00
Col$3,666.67
+60.1%
10.5%Col$4,200.00Col$3,300.00n/a3
Aug ’25Col$2,300.00
Col$3,666.67
+59.4%
10.5%Col$4,200.00Col$3,300.00n/a3
Jul ’25Col$2,195.00
Col$3,666.67
+67.0%
10.5%Col$4,200.00Col$3,300.00n/a3
Jun ’25Col$2,270.00
Col$4,080.00
+79.7%
24.8%Col$6,000.00Col$3,300.00n/a5
May ’25Col$2,290.00
Col$4,080.00
+78.2%
24.8%Col$6,000.00Col$3,300.00n/a5
Apr ’25Col$2,475.00
Col$4,080.00
+64.8%
24.8%Col$6,000.00Col$3,300.00n/a5
Mar ’25Col$2,480.00
Col$4,080.00
+64.5%
24.8%Col$6,000.00Col$3,300.00n/a5
Feb ’25Col$2,760.00
Col$4,533.33
+64.3%
20.9%Col$6,000.00Col$3,400.00n/a6
Jan ’25Col$3,510.00
Col$4,533.33
+29.2%
20.9%Col$6,000.00Col$3,400.00n/a6
Dec ’24Col$3,520.00
Col$4,533.33
+28.8%
20.9%Col$6,000.00Col$3,400.00n/a6
Nov ’24Col$3,577.00
Col$4,533.33
+26.7%
20.9%Col$6,000.00Col$3,400.00Col$2,320.006
Oct ’24Col$2,830.00
Col$4,533.33
+60.2%
20.9%Col$6,000.00Col$3,400.00Col$2,190.006
Sep ’24Col$2,994.00
Col$5,075.00
+69.5%
13.5%Col$6,000.00Col$4,200.00Col$2,290.004
Aug ’24Col$4,520.00
Col$5,075.00
+12.3%
13.5%Col$6,000.00Col$4,200.00Col$2,300.004
Jul ’24Col$4,196.00
Col$4,966.67
+18.4%
15.3%Col$6,000.00Col$4,200.00Col$2,195.003
Jun ’24Col$4,178.00
Col$4,966.67
+18.9%
15.3%Col$6,000.00Col$4,200.00Col$2,270.003
May ’24Col$4,118.00
Col$4,966.67
+20.6%
15.3%Col$6,000.00Col$4,200.00Col$2,290.003
Apr ’24Col$4,100.00
Col$4,450.00
+8.5%
5.6%Col$4,700.00Col$4,200.00Col$2,475.002
Mar ’24Col$4,100.00
Col$4,966.67
+21.1%
14.7%Col$6,000.00Col$4,400.00Col$2,480.003
Feb ’24Col$3,849.00
Col$5,000.00
+29.9%
14.1%Col$6,000.00Col$4,500.00Col$2,760.003
Jan ’24Col$3,400.00
Col$5,000.00
+47.1%
14.1%Col$6,000.00Col$4,500.00Col$3,510.003
Dec ’23Col$3,620.00
Col$5,000.00
+38.1%
14.1%Col$6,000.00Col$4,500.00Col$3,520.003
Nov ’23Col$3,666.67
Col$5,000.00
+36.4%
14.1%Col$6,000.00Col$4,500.00Col$3,577.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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