There's Reason For Concern Over Hunan Development Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000722) Massive 28% Price Jump

Hunan Development Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000722) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

After such a large jump in price, Hunan Development Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 79.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 31x and even P/E's below 19x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Hunan Development Group certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Hunan Development Group

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hunan Development Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For Hunan Development Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Hunan Development Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 111% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 15% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 38% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hunan Development Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Shares in Hunan Development Group have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Hunan Development Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware Hunan Development Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Hunan Development Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.