Stock Analysis

Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower's (SHSE:600025) Returns Have Hit A Wall

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SHSE:600025

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower (SHSE:600025), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.073 = CN¥12b ÷ (CN¥197b - CN¥31b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

Therefore, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower has an ROCE of 7.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Renewable Energy industry average of 5.9%.

Check out our latest analysis for Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower

SHSE:600025 Return on Capital Employed August 19th 2024

In the above chart we have measured Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower for free.

The Trend Of ROCE

The returns on capital haven't changed much for Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower in recent years. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 7.3% and the business has deployed 33% more capital into its operations. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.

On a side note, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower has done well to reduce current liabilities to 16% of total assets over the last five years. Effectively suppliers now fund less of the business, which can lower some elements of risk.

The Key Takeaway

Long story short, while Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 188% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should know about.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.