Stock Analysis

Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002889) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't

SZSE:002889
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There wouldn't be many who think Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002889) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.2x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 26x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

For example, consider that Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as earnings growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this benign earnings growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002889 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 23rd 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Growth For Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 19% decline in EPS over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 36% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management's P/E?

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.