Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By CTS International Logistics Corporation Limited's (SHSE:603128) Low P/E

SHSE:603128
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13x CTS International Logistics Corporation Limited (SHSE:603128) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 32x and even P/E's higher than 58x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

CTS International Logistics could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for CTS International Logistics

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603128 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 14th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on CTS International Logistics.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as CTS International Logistics' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 45% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 27% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 41% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why CTS International Logistics is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On CTS International Logistics' P/E

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that CTS International Logistics maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for CTS International Logistics you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of CTS International Logistics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CTS International Logistics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.