Stock Analysis

Investors three-year losses continue as CTS International Logistics (SHSE:603128) dips a further 5.7% this week, earnings continue to decline

SHSE:603128
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If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the long term shareholders of CTS International Logistics Corporation Limited (SHSE:603128) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. So they might be feeling emotional about the 59% share price collapse, in that time. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 42% lower in that time. Furthermore, it's down 23% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for CTS International Logistics isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for CTS International Logistics

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

CTS International Logistics saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 6.0% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 26% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:603128 Earnings Per Share Growth July 18th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on CTS International Logistics' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, CTS International Logistics' TSR for the last 3 years was -54%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that CTS International Logistics shareholders are down 39% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 17%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with CTS International Logistics , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.