Daqin Railway Co., Ltd.

SHSE:601006 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥123.8b

Daqin Railway Valuation

Is 601006 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 601006 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 601006 (CN¥6.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥14.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 601006 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 601006?

Key metric: As 601006 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 601006. This is calculated by dividing 601006's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 601006's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.8x
EarningsCN¥9.42b
Market CapCN¥123.79b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 601006's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 601006 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.6x
601816 Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway
23.4x12.0%CN¥302.5b
001213 China Railway Special Cargo Logistics
29.4xn/aCN¥18.5b
600125 China Railway Tielong Container Logistics
18.3x21.2%CN¥7.7b
000557 Ningxia Western Venture IndustrialLtd
27.5xn/aCN¥7.6b
601006 Daqin Railway
12.8x10.6%CN¥123.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 601006 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the peer average (24.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 601006's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Transportation Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
601006 12.8xIndustry Avg. 13.6xNo. of Companies24PE01020304050+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 601006 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the Asian Transportation industry average (13.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 601006's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

601006 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.8x
Fair PE Ratio21.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 601006 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 601006 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥6.60
CN¥7.68
+16.4%
21.8%CN¥11.90CN¥5.50n/a9
Dec ’25CN¥6.81
CN¥7.68
+12.8%
21.8%CN¥11.90CN¥5.50n/a9
Nov ’25CN¥6.58
CN¥7.65
+16.2%
21.8%CN¥11.90CN¥5.50n/a9
Oct ’25CN¥6.86
CN¥7.69
+12.1%
21.2%CN¥11.90CN¥5.60n/a9
Sep ’25CN¥6.11
CN¥7.80
+27.7%
20.3%CN¥11.90CN¥5.60n/a9
Aug ’25CN¥7.06
CN¥8.03
+13.7%
18.8%CN¥11.90CN¥6.00n/a9
Jul ’25CN¥7.20
CN¥8.05
+11.8%
19.5%CN¥11.90CN¥6.00n/a9
Jun ’25CN¥7.07
CN¥7.68
+8.6%
11.4%CN¥9.10CN¥6.00n/a8
May ’25CN¥6.92
CN¥7.78
+12.4%
11.5%CN¥9.10CN¥6.00n/a8
Apr ’25CN¥7.37
CN¥7.89
+7.1%
12.5%CN¥9.10CN¥6.10n/a7
Mar ’25CN¥7.44
CN¥8.10
+8.8%
8.6%CN¥9.10CN¥6.90n/a7
Feb ’25CN¥7.46
CN¥8.10
+8.5%
8.6%CN¥9.10CN¥6.90n/a7
Jan ’25CN¥7.21
CN¥8.00
+11.0%
7.5%CN¥8.70CN¥6.90CN¥6.787
Dec ’24CN¥7.30
CN¥8.10
+11.0%
8.7%CN¥9.10CN¥6.90CN¥6.817
Nov ’24CN¥7.21
CN¥7.94
+10.1%
8.7%CN¥9.10CN¥6.90CN¥6.588
Oct ’24CN¥7.29
CN¥7.98
+9.4%
8.4%CN¥9.10CN¥6.90CN¥6.868
Sep ’24CN¥7.16
CN¥7.99
+11.6%
8.5%CN¥9.10CN¥6.90CN¥6.118
Aug ’24CN¥7.19
CN¥8.16
+13.6%
8.6%CN¥9.10CN¥6.90CN¥7.069
Jul ’24CN¥7.43
CN¥8.20
+10.3%
9.2%CN¥9.40CN¥6.90CN¥7.209
Jun ’24CN¥7.56
CN¥8.20
+8.4%
9.2%CN¥9.40CN¥6.90CN¥7.079
May ’24CN¥7.70
CN¥8.06
+4.7%
9.2%CN¥9.40CN¥6.90CN¥6.929
Apr ’24CN¥7.19
CN¥7.53
+4.7%
12.4%CN¥9.40CN¥6.20CN¥7.379
Mar ’24CN¥6.89
CN¥7.53
+9.3%
12.4%CN¥9.40CN¥6.20CN¥7.449
Feb ’24CN¥6.70
CN¥7.53
+12.4%
12.4%CN¥9.40CN¥6.20CN¥7.469
Jan ’24CN¥6.68
CN¥7.50
+12.2%
11.9%CN¥9.40CN¥6.20CN¥7.2110

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 10:53
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. is covered by 39 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Huiming LiuBOCI Research Ltd.
Nathan GeeBofA Global Research
Yanli QiBohai Securities Co., Ltd.