China Railway Tielong Container Logistics Co., Ltd

SHSE:600125 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥8.3b

China Railway Tielong Container Logistics Valuation

Is 600125 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 600125 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 600125 (CN¥6.33) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥0.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 600125 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 600125?

Key metric: As 600125 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 600125. This is calculated by dividing 600125's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 600125's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.1x
EarningsCN¥410.47m
Market CapCN¥8.26b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 600125's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 600125 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.4x
000557 Ningxia Western Venture IndustrialLtd
31.9xn/aCN¥8.6b
600834 Shanghai Shentong MetroLtd
77.3xn/aCN¥4.3b
001213 China Railway Special Cargo Logistics
31.4xn/aCN¥19.2b
601006 Daqin Railway
13.1x10.6%CN¥123.4b
600125 China Railway Tielong Container Logistics
20.1x21.2%CN¥8.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 600125 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the peer average (38.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 600125's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Transportation Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
600125 20.1xIndustry Avg. 13.8xNo. of Companies23PE01020304050+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 600125 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the Asian Transportation industry average (13.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 600125's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

600125 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.1x
Fair PE Ratio17x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 600125 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 600125 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥6.33
CN¥6.44
+1.7%
9.5%CN¥7.45CN¥5.80n/a4
Nov ’25CN¥6.19
CN¥6.44
+4.0%
9.5%CN¥7.45CN¥5.80n/a4
Oct ’25CN¥6.25
CN¥6.31
+1.0%
11.0%CN¥7.45CN¥5.70n/a4
Sep ’25CN¥5.43
CN¥6.61
+21.7%
10.1%CN¥7.45CN¥5.70n/a4
Aug ’25CN¥6.27
CN¥6.40
+2.0%
8.3%CN¥6.99CN¥5.70n/a3
Jul ’25CN¥6.05
CN¥6.40
+5.7%
8.3%CN¥6.99CN¥5.70n/a3
Jun ’25CN¥6.36
CN¥6.40
+0.6%
8.3%CN¥6.99CN¥5.70n/a3
May ’25CN¥6.09
CN¥6.40
+5.0%
8.3%CN¥6.99CN¥5.70n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥5.77
CN¥6.48
+12.2%
6.5%CN¥7.03CN¥6.00n/a3
Mar ’25CN¥5.66
CN¥6.48
+14.4%
6.5%CN¥7.03CN¥6.00n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥5.44
CN¥6.48
+19.1%
6.5%CN¥7.03CN¥6.00n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥6.05
CN¥6.48
+7.1%
6.5%CN¥7.03CN¥6.00n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥6.29
CN¥6.48
+3.0%
6.5%CN¥7.03CN¥6.00n/a3
Nov ’24CN¥6.00
CN¥6.48
+7.9%
6.5%CN¥7.03CN¥6.00CN¥6.193
Oct ’24CN¥6.19
CN¥6.34
+2.5%
8.6%CN¥7.03CN¥5.70CN¥6.253
Sep ’24CN¥5.83
CN¥6.34
+8.8%
8.6%CN¥7.03CN¥5.70CN¥5.433
Aug ’24CN¥6.30
CN¥6.36
+1.0%
8.3%CN¥6.99CN¥5.70CN¥6.273
Jul ’24CN¥6.04
CN¥6.36
+5.4%
8.3%CN¥6.99CN¥5.70CN¥6.053
Jun ’24CN¥6.28
CN¥6.38
+1.5%
7.2%CN¥6.99CN¥5.70CN¥6.364
May ’24CN¥6.24
CN¥6.38
+2.2%
7.2%CN¥6.99CN¥5.70CN¥6.094
Apr ’24CN¥5.62
CN¥6.10
+8.6%
4.9%CN¥6.41CN¥5.70CN¥5.773
Mar ’24CN¥5.76
CN¥6.07
+5.4%
4.4%CN¥6.41CN¥5.70CN¥5.664
Feb ’24CN¥5.58
CN¥6.07
+8.8%
4.4%CN¥6.41CN¥5.70CN¥5.444
Jan ’24CN¥5.46
CN¥6.02
+10.3%
4.2%CN¥6.41CN¥5.70CN¥6.054
Dec ’23CN¥5.71
CN¥6.02
+5.4%
4.2%CN¥6.41CN¥5.70CN¥6.294
Nov ’23CN¥5.26
CN¥6.02
+14.4%
4.2%CN¥6.41CN¥5.70CN¥6.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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