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It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Chongqing Port Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600279)
Chongqing Port Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600279) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 53x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Chongqing PortLtd certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Chongqing PortLtd
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Chongqing PortLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Chongqing PortLtd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 340% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 655% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 35% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Chongqing PortLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Chongqing PortLtd's P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Chongqing PortLtd currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Chongqing PortLtd you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Chongqing PortLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600279
Chongqing PortLtd
Engages in the port transit transportation business in China.
Proven track record with mediocre balance sheet.